16:45 Newbury

Friday 22 September 2023

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:20

Dubai Duty Free Fillies' Handicap

Off time: 16:46 | Winning time: 2m 51.08s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Tashi²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: Jim Crowley| T: T Ward| OR: 78| D

18/1

One win from 26 Flat runs. in 2021. Beaten 7 lengths when second at Newmarket last month and ran poorly at Salisbury since. Not hard to look elsewhere.

Form: 0-30726

(5)

Sid's Annie³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: Charles Bishop| T: M D I Usher| OR: 78| D

12/1

Has her quirks but she's well capable when in the mood, winning for the fourth time this year when seeing off 7 rivals in a 1½m Newmarket handicap in August. Creditable fourth back there since but probably vulnerable to the 3-y-os here.

Form: 411514

(6)

Market Value²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Tom Marquand| T: W J Haggas| OR: 83

9/2

Landed 9-runner maiden at Ripon (1¼m, good to firm) in May. No disgrace in finding the thriving Sparks Fly too strong on her Chester handicap debut 6 weeks later and the step up to listed company at York since asked too much of her. Much respected with her sights lowered.

Form: 6-3128

(7)

Shagpyle⁵⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: W Muir & C Grassick| OR: 83

11/2

Half-sister to connections' King George winner Pyledriver who made a winning start to her career at Ascot (1¼m, soft; Rocha Do Leao behind in third) in May. Similar form in novices around this trip since and brings unexposed potential to this handicap debut after 8 weeks off.

Form: 124

(1)

Rocha Do Leao⁹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: David Egan| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 81

12/1

Footstepsinthesand filly who was third to Shagpyle in 1¼m Ascot maiden on soft and actually stepped up on that bare form when down the field in the Group 2 Ribblesdale at the Royal meeting there. Back at a much more realistic level after a break. Interesting to see what the betting makes of her.

Form: 530

(3)

Esmeray²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Rob Hornby| T: R M Beckett| OR: 79

6/4

Promising Sea The Moon filly who has improved with each start, placed on first 2 before making it third time lucky in 1¼m Ffos Las maiden (soft) last month. Likely more to come now handicapping over further.

Form: 321

(4)

Arenas Del Tiempo⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Christian Howarth⁽⁵⁾| T: S Dow| OR: 69

22/1

Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 5/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Epsom (1¼m, good to firm) 8 days ago. Should be competitive from the same mark but probably vulnerable to improvers in the 3yo ranks.

Form: 5-52852

(2)

Flash Bardot¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: J Channon| OR: 74| D

5/1

Successful over this trip at Epsom in July. Creditable placed efforts on her next 3 outings but she needs to shrug off a lesser run at Bath last time.

Form: 512338

Forecasts

Esmeray (6/4), Market Value (9/2), Flash Bardot (5/1), Shagpyle (11/2), Rocha Do Leao (12/1), Sid's Annie (12/1), Tashi (18/1), Arenas Del Tiempo (22/1)

It's likely best to focus on the 3-y-os. It'll be a surprise if there isn't more to come from ESMERAY on the back of her comfortable Ffos Las maiden success and she's preferred to Market Value, who should find this easier than the York listed event she contested last time. Shagpyle may prove best of the remainder.