16:10 Ayr

Friday 21 September 2018

All13:3014:0014:3015:0515:3516:1016:4517:20

William Hill Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap

Off time: 16:15 | Winning time: 1m 17.55s

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Selected odds by:

(19)

Adam's Ale^p¹³³

Age: 9| Weight: 9-7| J: Faye McManoman⁽⁷⁾| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 85| D

22/1

Decisive winner of a soft ground 6f h'cap on reappearance. Not so good last time but conditions wouldn't have suited; will be much more at home on this softer surface. Riders claim effectively puts him back on last winning mark and goes well fresh

Form: 5020-19

(8)

Alaadel^t²⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Harry Bentley| T: S C Williams| OR: 85| BF| D

14/1

Has shaped on several occasions that he will be better than this mark but also shapes like another furlong will help. Got going too late when well backed at Ffos Las (6f, good to soft) last time and that would be the only worry again here. Player.

Form: 2241-39

(9)

Tommy G⁴¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: D Tudhope| T: J S Goldie| OR: 85| CD

16/1

Has already won three times this year but can be a bit in-and-out. 4lb higher than for his last win at Goodwood and best efforts come on a sounder surface than today's.

Form: 731710

(5)

My Amigo^p,t⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: B A Curtis| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 84| D

13/2

Bounced back to form to win at Newmarket two starts back. Followed that up with a sound effort in a big field contest at The Curragh last time and has sound claims of going well if still in the same form.

Form: 654613

(25)

Tawny Port¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: T Eaves| T: J G Given| OR: 84| CD

20/1

Winner over this trip at Pontefract (soft) back in May off a 4lb lower mark. Not been so good since but encounters soft ground for the first time since so has claims of getting involved.

Form: 188360

(4)

Paddy Power²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: T Hamilton| T: R A Fahey| OR: 84| D

40/1

Ony 4lb higher than when winning well at York four starts back. Form can be a bit patchy but he tends to go well in these big fields and is hard to rule out.

Form: 781040

(21)

Dark Defender³¹^{(ex 5)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Rowan Scott⁽³⁾| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 79| CD

25/1

Took advantage of a drop in the weights to get back to winning ways at Hamilton last time under similar conditions. Riders claim negates most of the rise and should be a leading contender once more.

Form: 480431

(18)

Yes You⁸^{(ex 5)}

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Jamie Gormley⁽³⁾| T: I Jardine| OR: 79| CD

18/1

Previous C&D winner who is having a superb summer winning three times already. Conditions here are spot on and every chance of seeing another bold showing for this rapidly improving filly.

Form: 112514

(7)

Pour La Victoire^p¹⁹^{(ex 8)}

Age: 8| Weight: 9-6| J: Poppy Bridgwater⁽⁵⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 76| D

33/1

Having a wonderful time of things having completed a quick-fire Brighton hat-trick. Goes particularly well for this rider but is likely to find this much tougher going that those previous efforts under a double penalty.

Form: 123111

(17)

Oriental Lilly⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: J S Goldie| OR: 83| CD

50/1

Won over C&D (good) back in June and followed up next time at Newcastle (5f, AW). 7lb higher than for the first of those victories and this is much tougher.

Form: 113529

(11)

Dalton^p²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 83| CD

9/1

Has shown much improved form since joining this yard and is 2-4 so far this year. Only narrowly denied at Thirsk (6f, good) last time and gets to race of the same mark here. Every chance there is more to come

Form: 60-1412

(10)

Gabrial The Devil⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 85| D

12/1

Ultra-consistent handicapper who rarely runs a bad race. These conditions hold absolutely no fears for him and has leading claims of getting involved here once again and should go well.

Form: 213122

(3)

Equitation³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: David Egan| T: R Varian| OR: 83| BF| D

8/1

Only had three starts so far this year and has shown improvement with each run. Only up 2lb for being narrowly denied at Newmarket last time and should be plenty more to come. Respected.

Form: 311-532

(1)

Robero^v¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: J F Egan| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR: 82| D

33/1

Not hit the heights this season and well held when third to Colonel Frank two starts back before a fifth of six at Kempton. Others arrive in better form.

Form: 845935

(15)

Captain Jameson¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Jason Hart| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 84| BF| D

12/1

Won twice as a juvenile and although he has run with credit in handicaps this term, he has failed to add to his tally. Should run his race, but looks a little vulnerable at the weights.

Form: 652634

(24)

Russian Realm⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 9-4| J: G Lee| T: P T Midgley| OR: 82| D

28/1

Has been shaping like he still has a decent race in him. Caught the eye at Epsom earlier in the year and is handicapped to run well. Would become of interest were he to attract some market support.

Form: 729066

(16)

Lucky Lucky Man¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Oakley Brown⁽⁷⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 83| D

12/1

Won at Newcastle (6f, AW) three starts back off a 3lb lower mark. Not so good the last twice back on turf but this ground should be to his liking (won on heavy) and riders claim is a big plus. Could go well.

Form: 532148

(13)

Soldier's Minute¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Connor Beasley| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 83

22/1

Can be inconsistent but bounced back to form at York (6f, good to soft) last time when only caught close home. Races off the same mark here which gives him live claims but not assured to back that effort up.

Form: 865702

(20)

Kenny The Captain⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 9-3| J: Rachel Richardson| T: T D Easterby| OR: 81| BF| CD

11/1

Dropped to a tempting mark and ran a strange race at Doncaster last time when well backed. Having led he rallied again late on to finish a close up second. Nudged up 3lb for that but this likely to have been the target for a while and big chance

Form: 355932

(6)

Start Time²¹^{(ex 5)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: K Stott| T: P T Midgley| OR: 76

10/1

Been in good form of late winning his last two at Thirsk over 7f. Up a total of 11lb for those two wins but clearly in rude health. Drops in trip in a much deeper race and may struggle now.

Form: 340411

(12)

Buccaneers Vault⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: F Norton| T: P T Midgley| OR: 80| D

66/1

Been running to a pretty consistent level without winning so far this year. Whilst he is capable of going well here, chance is the handicapper has his measure for now.

Form: 133856

(2)

John Kirkup¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: S W Kelly| T: M Dods| OR: 82

33/1

Should enjoy conditions here but is another that seems to in the grip of the handicapper at present. Should run his race but likely to find a few too good.

Form: 723285

(23)

Royal Residence²²^{(ex 5)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: D Allan| T: J Tate| OR: 77| D

12/1

Having run some good races this year he got his head back in front at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) last time. 5lb rise is fair and capable of going well again.

Form: 4-22851

Non-Runners

(14)

Red Pike¹³

Weight: 9-3| Age: 7

T: B Smart J: Harry Russell

(22)

Go Far³⁵

Weight: 9-2| Age: 8

T: A Bailey J: Non Runner

Forecasts

My Amigo (13/2), Equitation (8/1), Dalton (9/1), Start Time (10/1), Kenny The Captain (11/1), Lucky Lucky Man (12/1), Royal Residence (12/1), Gabrial The Devil (12/1), Captain Jameson (12/1), Alaadel (14/1), Tommy G (16/1), Yes You (18/1), Tawny Port (20/1), Red Pike (20/1), Adam's Ale (22/1), Soldier's Minute (22/1), Dark Defender (25/1), Russian Realm (28/1), Pour La Victoire (33/1), John Kirkup (33/1), Robero (33/1), Paddy Power (40/1), Oriental Lilly (50/1), Buccaneers Vault (66/1), Go Far (200/1)

A wide-open sprint handicap in which you can make a case for plenty. Equitation is lightly raced and has improved with each start so far this year. He should have more to come and is a player for his powerful yard. Gabirel The Devil rarely runs a bad race and is very dangerous to dismiss once again. Kenny The Captain is another who has conditions to suit and having been so well backed last time should be a force off just 3lb higher. We will take a chance that they will go hard enough here to set this up for ALAADEL who looks sure to be capable of progressing passed his current mark. There is a slight suspicion he'll be better over further but they should go quick enough to set this up here.