You tend to get some of the quickest conditions on the ATP Tour in Marseille and so it’s easy to see why the market is shaped the way it is.
Top seed Daniil Medvedev prefers it quick – although this is probably faster than ideal for him – while defending champion Ugo Humbert and Hubert Hurkacz, the 2023 winner, both have strong serves which should win them plenty of free points in the south of France.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is also here. He’s probably the biggest server on the ATP Tour these days and should be very difficult to break in these conditions.
Still, they are all 8/1 or shorter – and you can throw 2018 winner Karen Khachanov into that bracket too – and I’m not enthused enough by such odds.
My oft-used tactic of trying to find some value among the long shots served us well last season, although it’s brought some truly miserable results so far in 2025, it has to be said.
However, it’s an approach which is pretty much guaranteed to produce a losing run at some stage (I’m trying to stay confident here).
Anyway, I’m sticking on the same route in Marseille and will first throw a dart in the shape of HAMAD MEDJEDOVIC.
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