Expected goals (xG), sectional timing and strokes-gained have improved analysis when it comes to football, horse racing and golf respectively. Snooker, though, lags behind with pot success percentage offered as the main barometer of performance, while safety success percentage is a flawed concept.

Like a league table in football, tournament results can clearly tell you plenty, but the serious bettor needs more than raw wins and losses to give themselves an edge. Expected wins and run to form % are a couple of tools I employ to getter a better handle on the current form of players.

Expected wins essentially tells you how many victories a player should have won given opponents faced and length of match. A positive difference in the table below clearly indicates a player over-performing; conversely a negative number represents underperformance.

Run to form (RTF) is a concept employed by Timeform when assessing the form of a trainer or jockey and while several factors are used to come up with relevant percentage, I have kept it simple with a binary Yes/No (or 1-0) using my pre-game frame supremacy figures.

A quick example would be John Higgins versus Jimmy Robertson, with Higgins 1.95 frames superior according to my model in a best of 11. On that basis, Higgins would have to win by two frames or more to cover expectancy (1) anything less would be 0.

The below table charts the season so far, with the exception of the Championship League, and gives a useful insight that match results alone cannot.