As has become customary, the new DP World Tour season begins just hours after the last one ended, this time with a stunning victory from PGA Tour-bound Nicolai Hojgaard as Rory McIlroy took home a fifth Race to Dubai.
There is a strong argument that some kind of break would be to everyone's benefit, but we're largely dealing with players who can't be too fussy. This co-sanctioned event, running alongside the Australian PGA, is a career-changing opportunity for so many – just ask Dan Bradbury, who won the title playing on an invite last year.
Key to solving it is to establish which, if any, of the class acts from South Africa will step up on what they've been doing lately. It will be needed, even at this level, after a disappointing campaign for Charl Schwartzel, and a tame return to the DP World Tour for both Branden Grace and Dean Burmester of late.
This trio make up a LIV Golf team that was thumped in the latter stages of their team championship finale and it's quite difficult to get a handle on them.
Once upon a time Schwartzel would've been a very skinny price for this, his hometown event and one he's won twice; Burmester meanwhile seldom plays poorly at home, and Grace hasn't forgotten how to win when a chance comes along. Victory for any one of them, awkward though it may be, certainly couldn't be called a surprise.
That said I found it quite difficult to drum up enthusiasm for any of them bar perhaps Schwartzel, who at 40/1 demands a second look on class grounds. He's about one-in-10 in terms of strike-rate on home soil over a 20-year period and ninth place in last year's SA Open, when selected on these pages at 28/1, is a decent form line.
Still, he laboured to 38th on LIV's individual standings, a poor effort however you dress it, and after some time off might be happy to sharpen up for next week's event, held at a course where he used to live and the one big South African title he's still to win.
I'd rather get a look at Schwartzel's game before suggesting we give the former Masters champion the benefit of considerable doubt and wouldn't mind taking shorter odds following a promising performance here, in the right circumstances of course.
That's for next week but here in Joburg, the man to beat is CHRISTIAAN BEZUIDENHOUT, who for my money ought to be favourite and can land one for fans of the nappy factor, having recently become a dad.
Third here last year, that was Bezuidenhout's first look at Houghton and puts him at an advantage over the other three, and having won three times in his last eight starts on South African soil, he deserves a little more respect.
Bezuidenhout's price is explained by the fact he's endured a bit of a down year, but he still comfortably kept his PGA Tour card, and sixth place at the Sanderson Farms is one of the strongest pieces of recent form on offer.
As you might expect, it came courtesy of quality approach play (seventh) and a killer short-game, Bezuidenhout's weakness being the driver, and while not so good at the Shriners thereafter he did close with an excellent 65 in which he made eight birdies and one bad mistake off the tee.
I was a bit surprised to read that Lombard recently played his 200th DP World Tour event, making him a longstanding maiden, but it's also a nod to the fact that he's kept his head above water for the most part, earning back his card in four of the last five seasons.
Undoubtedly, 2023 was his best yet, earning seven figures for the first time and finishing runner-up on three occasions, doubling his career tally. The last two months have also produced arguably his best yet in terms of consistency, a sustained run of good form capped by 22nd in the DP World Tour Championship.
It has been a really disappointing season for Arnaus, who less than two years ago looked a potential Ryder Cup candidate, but two recent top-20s give him something to build on as he heads to South Africa for a fresh start.
In nine appearances here, Arnaus has twice been second along with two further top-10s, and while I'd probably prefer to be backing him at either of the following two venues, which are more vulnerable to his power, he does have plenty of form on shorter, narrower courses, such as second at Valderrama and in Kenya.
This three-time DP World Tour winner has rather disappeared off the map in recent years but there have been extenuating circumstances, first the arrival of his second daughter which left his wife dangerously ill, and then a hurricane which destroyed their home in the Bahamas.
Just as they were getting things together along came Covid plus more health issues of his own, and he's almost played as many events this year as he did from when the pandemic began in 2020 to the end of 2022.
Schaper threatened to win a strong Kenya Open for us back in March and went on to produce several more good performances, including when 16th in the Barbasol Championship on the PGA Tour.
Although a little quiet since, he's continued to hit the ball well and all three missed cuts since then have been by a single shot, together with 56th in Prague, 37th in the Dunhill Links, and then 36th at a breezy Doha where his short-game showed up once more.
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