Tottenham's new manager search looks set to linger on into the summer.
Early favourites Erik ten Hag and Maurizio Sarri have both drifted massively in the betting, with the former signing a new contract at Ajax and the latter on the slide having been linked to the Roma job, which has just been taken by the man Tottenham sacked - Jose Mourinho.
That is making the search, and the market, fascinating.
Next Tottenham manager odds ()
- Brendan Rodgers - 3/1
- Scott Parker - 4/1
- Nuno Espirito Santo - 11/2
- Graham Potter - 7/1
- Ralf Rangnick - 8/1
- Julen Lopetegui - 9/1
Odds correct at 0745 BST (07/05/21)
Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers is now the favourite, followed by Fulham boss Scott Parker who looks likely to take his side straight back down to the Sky Bet Championship.
Former RB Leipzig head coach Ralf Rangnick is in the mix according to the odds, as are two strong candidates who face off on Sunday in the Premier League: Nuno Espirito Santo and Graham Potter.
If the prices are anything to go by, Nuno, at 5/1 across the board, is twice as likely to be the next Spurs manager as Potter.
But the Brighton boss would be no 10/1 hopeful punt. He's a best bet.
From coaching students to the Premier League
From last season to this, there has been a monstrous leap.
The growth seen in Brighton has been sensational, especially as they haven’t exactly splashed the cash.
Imagine if Potter had money to spend.
Potter needs better players
One of the main reasons Brighton aren’t in the top half this season is wastefulness in front of goal.
Defensively, only Manchester City (0.79) and Chelsea (0.87) have bettered Brighton's 1.07 xGA per game (1.07) - the attack has let them down.
In Potter’s system and style, Brighton create plenty of chances, averaging 1.58 xGF per game, but taking those chances has proved an issue.
Over the course of the season, we would have expected Brighton to score close to 52 goals (51.5 xGF) based on the quality of chances they have created; they’ve scored just 33.
An underperformance of nearly 19 goals makes them officially the least clinical, or most wasteful, team in the Premier League. Based on the same metric, Spurs are top of the charts, scoring nearly eight more goals than would be expected.
It’s not a one-off either, with Tottenham scoring five more than expected in 2019/20, seven more in 2018/19, three more in 2017/18 and a whopping 15 more in 2016/17. Having one of the best finishers on the planet helps.
If Potter were able to replicate his system and process at Tottenham, with the higher quality finishers they possess, this is a match made in heaven.
Still sound like a 10/1 hopeful punt?
Tottenham chairman Daniel Levy doesn't strike me as the sort to take a gamble, but Potter really is his best bet.
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