It's all or nothing with Frank Lampard's Chelsea. While they possess a real attacking force the defence has consistently proved problematic. They enjoy two games without conceding but then the offensive output decreases and they're left with two points in two goalless draws.
A positive for them is that Wednesday sees them travel to Russia to take on a Krasnodar side who have struggled in the league so far. They sit 8th after 12 games and already find themselves nine points behind leaders Spartak Moscow, who beat them 3-1 at the weekend.
Despite that recent form, only three teams in Russia's top division can boast seeing fewer shots against per game than Krasnodar. The hosts face 11.4 shots per game in the league and they look to limit opposition chances in their home contests; only two of the seven visiting teams across all competitions this season have hit double figures.
With this in mind, it's not worth backing the 17+ Chelsea shots available at even money; Krasnodar's statistics make it difficult to find any real value in any shots market. Instead, with Krasnodar sitting sixth for average tackles (14.4) in Russia, it could become a contest that sees that count run high.
Best bet:
Manchester United's victory over PSG gave them the perfect start to their Champions League campaign and a crucial three points as they look to reach the knockout stages. While United deserve some praise for their tactics on the night, we simply can't ignore just how poor PSG were.
Not only did they fail to get going at all the attitude across the board was far from good enough. That includes Neymar, a player who can do magical things and win the game on his own but he didn't look interested. It was the type of performance that highlighted just why so many people can't even put him near the same level of Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo.
RB Leipzig are the visitors to Old Trafford this week, a venue that saw a dull contest between United and Chelsea last time out, and I will happily take 9/4 on RB Leipzig to beat anyone. They currently sit top of the Bundesliga table and could seriously push Bayern close this season.
Julian Nagelsmann has taken this club to the next level with a semi-final appearance in this competition last season. Much was made of Timo Werner's departure for Chelsea but they have adapted and there isn't such a reliance on the one source for goals. That is one of many reasons why they can continue to battle Europe's best.
Best bet:
The majority of eyes will be on Manchester United's clash with RB Leipzig or Juventus meeting Barcelona but there is value in Dortmund's encounter with Zenit, and it involves the prolific striker Erling Haaland.
Little else needs to be said on his form across the past two seasons. It's frankly not human. He netted 44 goals in 40 games across all competitions last season and has started the 2020/21 campaign with seven goals in eight appearances - that includes one in last week's 3-1 defeat at Lazio.
Although I still hold some reservations about this Dortmund side under Lucien Favre, it is difficult to argue against their 4/11 price for victory and I would have little issue in including them in any Wednesday accumulators. Instead, with Haaland odds-on across the board to score, it's worth backing his 4/1 price on an assist.
It's a side of his game that doesn't get enough credit considering the high number of goals he scores but it is a figure that does run up a decent tally. Haaland had ten assists last season and has already seen three in the current campaign.
All three assists have been for different players too which can be viewed as a positive. He is expected to be involved in the goals in some capacity again with 2+ priced at just 13/5. You have to go up to over 3.5 goals to get an odds-against price which highlights what the money is behind.
Even Haaland's first goalscorer odds are a very short 5/2. For a player who plays the full 90 minutes in important games, it's worth taking the assists price for the best value. We may think that Haaland is their only goalscorer, and with seven he certainly leads the way, but Dortmund have had eleven different scorers in competitions this season.
That makes the 4/1 on a Haaland assist worth a play in a game where Dortmund should secure victory with goals. Zenit's encounter with Club Brugge last week was so entertaining with it becoming a basketball-like contest in the second-half. A repeat here will suit Haaland massively.
Score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Zenit ()
Best bet:
Odds correct at 1130 GMT (27/10/20)
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