Free Premier League betting tips: Wednesday 16th December 6pm kick-offs including Leicester v Everton

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Arsenal v Southampton betting tips

  • 18:00 GMT on Amazon Prime Video
  • Match odds:

Arsenal's collapse over the past few months has been staggering. This is a club who won the FA Cup just four months ago, a serious indicator of the positive progression they had made under Mikel Arteta. Now, as mid-December hits, we are talking about them as a genuine part of the relegation battle.

Will the Gunners actually go down? Probably not, but the fact that we're even mentioning the idea shows their current plight. The latest defeat to Burnley kept them in 15th and there are a number of problems present. Granit Xhaka's latest red card also gives strength to the reports of a split within the camp.

Wednesday sees high-flying Southampton visit The Emirates. Whatever their situation, you just can't picture away teams being a big price when travelling to Arsenal and that makes the Saints seriously good value in this contest. The contrasting form of both sides makes the prices questionable.

Sitting fourth after 12 games is a fantastic position. It shows just how good a job Ralph Hasenhuttl is doing - and a point that may be relevant to Mikel Arteta, what a coach can do if given time to recover from a poor patch; that of course includes Saints' famous [REDACTED] defeat to [REDACTED] in October 2019 (we all know we're not allowed to mention that game).

Without getting too much into the statistics and every small detail, Arsenal are performing as a mid-table Premier League side. Infogol's model has them sitting in ninth and, rather worryingly, remaining fixtures coupled with the Gunners' performance levels leaves them with an expected position of 11th.

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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Arsenal have lost just one of their 21 Wednesday Premier League games at the Emirates Stadium (W14 D6), going down 1-2 against Swansea in March 2016.
  • Excluding own goals, 10 of the last 16 Premier League goals scored in fixtures between Arsenal and Southampton have been scored by English players – prior to this, only 10 of the previous 55 goals were scored by Englishmen.
  • Arsenal have received six Premier League red cards since Mikel Arteta’s first game in charge in December 2019, double that of any other side in this time.
  • Southampton have won 23 points in their opening 12 Premier League games this season (W7 D2 L3) – assuming three points for a win in all seasons, only in 2014/15 (26) have they had more points after 12 matches in a top-flight season.
  • Danny Ings has scored three Premier League goals in three appearances against Arsenal for Southampton – no Saints player has ever scored four goals against the Gunners in the competition.

Leeds v Newcastle betting tips

  • 18:00 GMT on Amazon Prime Video
  • Match odds:
(bet365) given his aerial presence. However, Newcastle aren't a big scorer from set-pieces.

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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • This is the first Premier League meeting between Leeds and Newcastle since January 2004, when the Magpies won 1-0 at St James’ Park courtesy of Alan Shearer’s goal.
  • Newcastle have won just one of their last 22 Premier League games played on a Wednesday (D4 L17), winning 4-1 at Bournemouth in July. Indeed, the Magpies have lost more Premier League games on a Wednesday than any other side in the competition (44).
  • Leeds have lost their last two Premier League games despite opening the scoring each time. Only four teams have ever lost three in a row despite scoring first – Blackburn in April 2007, Sunderland in February 2011, Wolves in April 2012 and Leicester in December 2014.
  • 57% of Newcastle’s Premier League goals this season have come in the final 15 minutes of games (8/14). The Magpies have scored in this timeframe in all five of their victories so far this season.
  • This is Marcelo Bielsa’s 114th match in charge of Leeds United in all competitions – the most he’s managed at a club in his managerial career, overtaking the 113 he managed at Athletic Bilbao between 2011 and 2013.

Leicester v Everton betting tips

  • 18:00 GMT on Amazon Prime Video
  • Match odds:
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Best bet:

Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Leicester City have won three of their last five home league games against Everton (L2), as many as they had in their previous 16 against the Toffees (W3 D7 L6).
  • Everton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 15 Premier League games against Leicester, doing so in a 2-0 away win in December 2016.
  • After 13 of the first 18 Premier League games between Leicester and Everton had ended in a draw, none of the last 10 meetings between the sides in the competition have finished level (five wins each).
  • Carlo Ancelotti has won all three of his meetings with Brendan Rodgers in all competitions, winning twice with Real Madrid in 2014/15 versus Liverpool in the Champions League and with Everton versus Leicester in the Premier League in July.
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored 19 goals in 32 Premier League games under Carlo Ancelotti, compared with 16 goals in 94 appearances under his previous Everton managers combined.

Odds correct at 1630 GMT (14/12/20)

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