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On the face of it, this is a huge fixture. But is it really? It is just fourth v tenth after all.
Two huge sides who are some way off competing for the Premier League title again. Frank Lampard’s side have shown glimpses of potential this season, but games like the late defeat at Newcastle remind us of what they are missing.
As Alex Keble notes in his excellent weekend analysis, the Blues are short of a probing winger in particular. Christian Pulisic’s absence does not help but the options available without the American are quite average for a side with silverware aspirations. Callum Hudson-Odoi has promise but the young forward needs consistency and Willian tries hard, but the Brazilian has his off days.
Across London at Arsenal, it is early days for Mikel Arteta. They could actually have been good value for a win here if Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was not suspended. Without him it is a tougher task. The Gunners have shown elements of promise but are yet to perform convincingly for a full game under the Spaniard.
The good news for those tuning into this game is the distinct lack of defensive quality, so hopefully there will be goals. This fixture has conjured up some entertaining clashes in the past, including a 5-3 away win for Arsenal in 2011/12 and a 6-0 home thrashing by Chelsea in 2013/14.
With action expected at both ends and defensive lapses likely, the price on a goal to come in the last quarter of an hour at a fraction under evens is tempting enough.
There have been 16 goals in Chelsea games in this period, six in their favour and 10 conceded – including that defeat to Southampton at Stamford Bridge on Boxing Day. Arsenal, surprisingly, have only seen 10 in this time. But with the derby atmosphere and Chelsea’s approach at both ends, a late goal could well be key.
Score prediction: Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal ()
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Odds correct at 1200 GMT (20/01/20)
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