Premier League tips: Betting previews, predictions & best bets for Thursday's action including Arsenal v Brighton

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Arsenal v Brighton and Hove Albion (2015 KO)

A home bow for Freddie Ljungberg after a so-so debut at Norwich, where the Gunners did come back from a goal down twice, but also did show plenty of the fragility that cost Unai Emery his job in the end - it seem's this Arsenal team are beyond a 'new manager bounce' if it exists.

The Gunners have conceded two goals in seven of their last nine, and haven't won in eight games now, and they're so bad that backing them at 8/13 against a side who have won just one point on the road since the opening day of the season makes little appeal.

Brighton's stats look pretty dreadful, having lost four in a row on the road and conceding 13 in their last six away games as they sit just outside the drop zone, yet there seems a better atmosphere around this club than at the Emirates at the moment.

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Arsenal have never lost a home match against Brighton in any competition, winning six, drawing two and keeping six clean sheets in the process.
  • Brighton are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Arsenal (W1 D2) – they’ve never gone four without defeat against them in all competitions.
  • Arsenal have only lost one of their last 25 Premier League home games (W17 D7), though are winless in their last three at the Emirates (D3). They last went four league games without a home win in August 2012, while they last did so within a single season in February 1995 (8 games).
  • Arsenal are winless in eight matches in all competitions (D6 L2) – should they fail to beat Brighton, it would be their worst winless run since March 1977, a run of 10.
  • Six of Brighton’s last eight Premier League goals have been scored via set pieces (four free-kicks, a corner and a penalty) – their first eight goals this season were all scored in open play.

Sheffield United v Newcastle United (1930)

Best bet:

Key stats

  • None of Newcastle’s seven Premier League away games has ended in a draw this season (W2 L5). The Magpies have kept just one clean sheet in those seven games, beating Spurs 1-0 in August.
  • Eight of Newcastle’s 13 Premier League goals this season have been scored by defenders – the highest such ratio in the competition in 2019-20 (61.5%).
  • Sheffield United have conceded only one goal in the opening 30 minutes of Premier League matches this season – fewer than any other side.
  • No player has had more shots without scoring in the Premier League this season than Miguel Almirón (23, level with Sheffield United’s David McGoldrick). However, the Paraguayan did register his first assist in the competition last time out against Manchester City.

Odds correct as of 2030 GMT on 04/12/19

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