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    Bayer Leverkusen v Rangers (3-1 agg)

    • 1755 kick-off on BT Sport 2
    • Latest odds:
    a nice bet.

    Now for the more speculative amongst us, but with good reason to back. Leverkusen's Kai Havertz is inevitable going to be heavily backed because of his supposedly imminent move to Chelsea, and the form he ended the season in. Likewise, Rangers striker Alfredo Morelos is being constantly linked with a move - the value just isn't there for either in the anytime market.

    But Leverkusen defender on the other hand. He scored three times in his final nine matches of the campaign, which makes that price a juicy one.

    Don't back his brother Lars by accident though, whose odds are less than half his twin's having only featured twice post-lockdown, and taken 55 games to score his past three goals.

    Score prediction: Leverkusen 2-1 Rangers ()

    Best bets:

    Opta stats

    • This will be the fourth competitive meeting between Leverkusen and Rangers with each of the previous three all coming in the UEFA Cup/Europa League (one win each and one draw). Rangers’ only victory against Bayer Leverkusen came away from home, beating the Germans 2-1 in the last 32 of the 1998-99 UEFA Cup.
    • Rangers have won just one of their last 19 away matches against German opposition in major European competition (D8 L10), a 2-1 victory at Leverkusen in October 1998, failing to score in 14 of those games.
    • Bayer Leverkusen will be aiming to reach the quarter finals of the UEFA Cup/Europa League for the first time since 2007-08. The German side have lost just two of their 18 two legged knockout ties in major European competition having won the first leg, with their last such elimination coming against Atlético de Madrid in the last 16 of the 2014-15 Champions League campaign.
    • Rangers will need to overturn a 3-1 first leg defeat to reach the quarter finals of the UEFA Cup/Europa League for the first time since 2007-08 (losing finalists that year); Indeed, the Scottish side have progressed from each of their last two two legged knockout ties in major European competition when they’ve lost the first leg (against Marítimo in 2004-05 and Hapoel Tel Aviv in 2006-07).
    • Alfredo Morelos has been involved in seven of Rangers’ 13 Europa League goals this campaign (6 goals, 1 assist).

    Wolves v Olympiakos (1-1 agg)

    • 2000 kick-off on BT Sport 1
    • Latest odds:

    I do think Wolves will get themselves into the last eight, and I think they'll win at Molineux too which presents a few different options. They've kept clean sheets in seven of their past eight home matches, winning six times, with Arsenal's 2-0 victory the only blemish:

    Four of their last five home games have seen two goals or fewer: I think that's our best option, rather than the group bet although I must admit it's a real tempter.

    The best price, and one I like and will be backing personally, is in the half-time/full-time market. But with the tendency for goals to be scored between the 40th-minute and the break in Wolves matches, we'd be taking on extra risk for marginal gain and without the cash-out option - which I'll stress again, for the goalless half-time bet hover over that cash-out button!

    Score prediction: Wolves 2-0 Olympiakos ()

    Best bets:

    Opta stats

    Opta stats

    • This will be the first ever competitive meeting between Sevilla and Roma; Indeed, Sevilla have won each of their last two encounters against Italian opposition, beating Lazio both home and away in last season’s Europa League last 32.
    • Roma have won just one of their last seven encounters against Spanish sides (D1 L5), failing to score in five of those matches.
    • Since the competitions re-branding in 2009-10, Sevilla have reached the quarter finals of the Europa League on three occasions, going on to win the competition each time (2013-14, 2014-15 & 2015-16).
    • Roma have lost just one of their last nine matches in the Europa League (W4 D4) and will be aiming to reach the quarter finals of the UEFA Cup/Europa league for the first time since 1998-99 (lost both home and away to Atlético de Madrid).
    • Sevilla have recorded more high turnovers (55 - sequences that start in open play and begin 40m or less from the opponent's goal) than any other side in this season’s Europa League, with 10 of those resulting in a shot and three of those being scored.


    Basel v Frankfurt (3-0 agg)

    • 2000 kick-off on BT Sport / ESPN
    • Latest odds:

    Opta stats

    • This will be just the second competitive meeting between Basel and Eintracht Frankfurt, after the Swiss side’s 3-0 away victory in the first leg.
    • Eintracht Frankfurt have won two of their four away matches against Swiss opposition in European competition (D1 L1), although their last such victory came back in October 1977, beating FC Zürich 3-0 in the UEFA Cup.
    • Basel have won six of their last seven Europa League games (L1) including each of the last four without conceding. Since the competition’s re-branding in 2009-10, no side has won five consecutive matches in the tournament without conceding in any of those games.
    • The last side to lose the first leg of a two-legged knockout tie by 3+ goals in the Europa League and still progress was Valencia in the 2013-14 quarter finals against Eintracht Frankfurt’s opposition in this game, FC Basel.
    • Based on the quality on their chances, Basel have scored six goals more than expected in the Europa League this season (Expected Goals value of 12.7 scoring 19), the highest tally in the competition.

    Odds correct as of 1400 BST on 05/08/20

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