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Nottingham Forest v Millwall

  • Friday March 6 - 1945 GMT kick-off on Sky Sports Football

Nottingham Forest's automatic promotion hopes appear to be over following Monday's 2-2 draw with Middlesbrough.

The result leaves Sabri Lamouchi's men eight points adrift of Leeds in second. They need to find three more wins than Marcelo Bielsa's side with just ten games to go.

Their home form has been a big concern this season with Forest sat 12th in the home standings. They've won less than half their games in front of their own supporters; far from ideal for a side aiming for Premier League football.

In Gary Rowett's Millwall, they take on a club who have shaken off the tag of being a 'home only' team. Having picked up points in 12 of their 18 games on the road this season, it's clear to see that they now have little issue in playing away from the Den.

There's too many 'what if' questions surrounding the outright result, but if I was forced to choose between the trio of outcomes I'd probably settle on a draw at 23/10.

Instead, the value comes in the goalscorer market with two big-priced selections available. Shaun Hutchinson and Jake Cooper, Millwall's centre-back duo, are worth consideration on Friday night.

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Opta facts

  • Nottingham Forest are winless in four league games against Millwall (D2 L2) since a 1-0 win in August 2017.
  • Millwall have lost just one of their last nine league meetings with Nottingham Forest (W4 D4).
  • This is Nottingham Forest’s first home league game on a Friday since facing Millwall on the opening day of the 2017-18 season, winning 1-0.
  • Millwall haven’t scored a league goal in open play in their last 728 minutes of Championship football, since an 82nd-minute Jón Dadi Bödvarsson goal against Reading in January.
  • Since the start of the 2017-18 season, Nottingham Forest striker Lewis Grabban has scored more Championship goals than any other player (53).
  • Millwall boss Gary Rowett hasn’t won an away match against Nottingham Forest since December 2014 with Birmingham, failing in six games in all competitions since then (D4 L2).

Odds correct at 1230 GMT (05/03/20)

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