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Michael Beardmore
“A much better manager than a player,” Jose Mourinho joked about his former Porto back-up goalkeeper Nuno Espirito Santo last year – but as apprentice faces sorcerer on Sunday evening, which of the two has more to prove right now?
Nuno is arguably experiencing his most testing spell as Wolves manager to date, a run of just seven points from the last 21 available has seen them slip into the Premier League’s bottom half.
Finding value on Kane in the regular scoring markets is nigh on impossible nowadays (18/5 tops to net first, 7/5 anytime) so that price really is something. And so are these next two.
Sky Bet’s market on headed shots on target adds an extra angle for us - he’s 4/1 for one or more and a massive 50/1 for two or more. I think both are worth a play.
Kane had two headers on target at Crystal Palace recently and sent two great headed opportunities off target against Liverpool and Leicester – he’s clearly getting in the right positions and is averaging one headed chance per game this campaign.
When you factor in that Wolves are not as defensively solid as they were last season – they have conceded three headers in the past five games – we can use our head, and Harry’s, to profit here.
Score prediction: Wolves 1-2 Tottenham
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Joe Townsend
A clash of cultures, merely just a clash of styles? Or am I being harsh and far too simplistic?
Whichever way you look at it, Leeds and Burnley play football in very different, but similarly effective, ways. Whoever manages to adapt to the other the better will come out on top on Sunday.
Consistency hasn't been a strong suit for Marcelo Bielsa's side this season, with them just as likely to win 5-2 as they are to lose 6-2. They did, in successive games over the space of five days against Newcastle and Manchester United.
I am willing to stake close to all I have on this not being being another over 6.5 goals encounter.
Burnley favour the tight game, relying on a superb defence to give them the platform to grapple their way to victory. After a slow start to the season, Sean Dyche's side have successfully returned to that old, familiar blueprint.
Their opening 12 games yielded just 10 points, but their most recent seven have brought 12 - the Clarets are one of the top flight's in-form teams. They have lost once in seven, and that was to Manchester City.
To see them priced at odds-against on the double chance, and 7/2 to win brings joy to my heart this festive season as that simply doesn't stack up.
If there is one type of team that Bielsa's Leeds - 7/10 to collect three points - struggles against it's one that is happy to sit deep and rely on its players' determination to stoically defend.
Wolves, Leicester and West Ham have all visited Elland Road this season and seen under 36% possession; they won 1-0, 4-1 and 2-1 respectively.
The double chance price is solid, but the value is in backing Burnley to continue their strong form and deliver us a 19/5 away win.
Leeds' other major weakness is defending set-pieces, an issue focused on in this week's Premier League: Punting Pointers.
They have conceded more goals from those situations than any other top-flight team this season. An injury crisis at centre-back means it's unlikely to be a problem that is solved any time soon.
An opposition central defender has found the net in each of Leeds' last four games, and the prices on that becoming a five-match streak are huge.
As first goalscorer options it's tough to turn down both James Tarkowski (40/1) and Ben Mee (60/1), although if you're looking to back each-way it's only worth it with the former - Mee's anytime price of 20/1 is significantly better than the 1/3 odds you'd get from any bookies offering an each-way option.
We really are spoilt for choice, as Sky Bet have also boosted Tarkowski to 25/1 to score a header.
This is the season for generosity though right? Small stakes punts all round. Begrudgingly, I'll restrain myself and just stick to the header tip for Tarkowski.
Score prediction: Leeds 1-2 Burnley ()
Jake Pearson
Victory at Stamford Bridge on Monday would have seen West Ham record a third successive away win in the Premier League, but a 3-0 defeat means they are now winless in two and in need of a result.
The scoreline was arguably a little harsh. The Hammer played well for large spells, taking the game to Chelsea with the score 1-0, but David Moyes’ men ultimately lacked quality in the final third, unable to create any real opportunity of note.
This is something that West Ham have struggled with over the last couple of weeks, creating chances equating to just 0.57 Expected Goals For (xGF) against Chelsea and 0.61xGF against Crystal Palace; only a spectacular Sebastian Haller overhead kick delivered a point on the latter occasion.
Odds correct at 11:50 GMT 24/12/20
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