The Blades have not played badly in their two games so far, while Leeds were fortunate to race into a 4-1 lead against a Fulham team who had at the very least matched them up to that point.
With it's difficult to ignore.
A pair of tight 1-0 away victories when the sides met during a close-run 2018/19 promotion race could be an indicator of how this contest will play out.
I'll happily acknowledge that I seem to be in the minority, but I just cannot shake the feeling that Wilder's Blades could frustrate Leeds and dig out a narrow win, which makes a tempting option.
But the value is with the draw.
Score prediction: Sheffield United 1-1 Leeds ()
Best bet:
They really are on fire, with Son bagging two assists in midweek as well. Both found the net at St James' Park when these sides met back in July too so have proven in recent times that they have the beating of the Newcastle defence.
While it was the South Korean who netted four times at Southampton, it's Kane who has the phenomenal record of scoring more than once in a game, doing so on eight occasions for club and country last season. It's a market to keep an eye for a price boost right up until kick-off and in-play, having paid out for us at 10/1 against Leicester during Project Restart last term.
The current 4/1 on offer is just a little too skinny, with the Kane and Son double act a smarter play having scored eight of Tottenham's 10 goals between them this season.
Score prediction: Tottenham 3-1 Newcastle ()
Best bet:
Leicester were beaten in all six meetings with top-three teams last term – three of which arrived by a margin of two goals or more. They regularly flopped against the Premier League’s leading lights, taking top honours just once in 12 against top-seven finishers and the guests head to Manchester having suffered six defeats in the past seven head-to-heads.
Man City covered this line in 11 of their 19 Etihad encounters in 2019/20 – Liverpool, Arsenal and Leicester all departed with defeats by two goals or more – keeping clean sheets along the way in 10 of those home outings. They should be well capable of repeating the feat on Sunday should they pick up where they left off at half-time at Molineux.
Elsewhere, the imperious Kevin De Bruyne could be underrated in the shots on target market to land two or more should Guardiola continue to ask the Belgian to play a more advanced role. The PFA Players' Player of the Year is on penalty and set-piece duty and all four of his strikes at goal against Wolves were on target, suggesting 5/4 could be overpriced.
Last season, De Bruyne averaged over three shots per-game and also hit five on target during his side's disappointing Champions League exit against Lyon. With Leicester giving up too many chances to a bare-boned Burnley only seven days ago, KDB is likely to be given enough opportunities in front of goal to make a mark.
Prediction: Manchester City 3-1 Leicester
Best Bets:
What doesn't go in our favour is Wolves' tendency to be involved in low-scoring encounters. Their 3-1 home defeat by Manchester City on Monday was only the second time in 15 fixtures that a game of theirs has seen over 2.5 goals.
I hope at least someone took heed of my tip-off in this week's Premier League: Pointing Pointers as the price of 13/11 on under 2.5 goals is long gone. Given last weekend's utter mayhem, I wouldn't risk it now at 11/14. The value just isn't there.
I still expect this to be tight, and so prefer a shots, rather than anytime goalscorer, angle. It might surprise you to know that for all the criticism that's been sent the Irons way, they've had 29 shots in the Premier League already this season.
The midfielder has managed two and three shots respectively so far this season, and is always a threat at set-pieces. Last weekend he was unlucky not to win a penalty when his header was blocked by the arm of Arsenal defender Gabriel.
I'm taking the shorter price for him to be in the thick of it once again.
For a more speculative bet, but grounded in very recent evidence, Wolves defender Romain Saiss had three attempts, scoring with one, away at Sheffield United on opening weekend.
Stranger things and all that.
Score prediction: West Ham 1-1 Wolves ()
Best bet:
Odds correct at 1200 BST 25/09/20
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