No Serie A team has seen more red cards flashed in their direction than Genoa this season. Indeed, they have had players sent off no fewer than eight times over the 2019/20 campaign, with three red cards in their last five matches alone before the coronavirus pandemic forced Italian football into lockdown.
Federico Marchetti’s record of two red cards in two matches played this season takes some beating, but even looking behind the third-choice goalkeeper, Genoa have become something of a liability at the back. They must keep their discipline if they are to survive the threat of relegation and claw themselves away from danger.
Betting: Their first game against a relatively well-behaved Parma might not have cards galore, although Genoa could cause a fight in a phonebox at times, but their second game against Brescia is worth adding to the notebook - no team in Serie A has had more yellow cards given to the opposition then their 83.
Lazio’s emergence as genuine Scudetto challengers has been one of the stories of the season in Italy and much of their success is down to the goalscoring exploits of Ciro Immobile, who has netted 27 times over the course of the campaign.
Written off after his failure to make the grade at Borussia Dortmund, the 30-year-old is enjoying quite the career renaissance.
It would be lazy to claim Lazio are overly dependent on Immobile - see the contributions of Luis Alberto, Sergey Milinkovic-Savic and Joaquin Correa among others - but the striker has scored 45% of their total league goals this season, the highest share of any individual player of any Serie A side.
Betting: Quite simple this one, as when Lazio score, it tends to be Immobile who does it. He’s a good option in any first or anytime scorer markets.
Antonio Conte has turned Inter into a more balanced side since arriving at the San Siro last summer, but the Nerazzurri have allowed themselves to drop off the pace since the turn of the year, with nine points between them in third place and top spot.
A big part of the problem has been Inter’s form in front of their own fans - they won't have that problem for the rest of the season.
Inter have dropped points in three of their last five matches at the San Siro. In fact, Conte’s side have been more at home away from home. Before the back-to-back defeats to Juventus and Lazio before the shutdown, the Nerazzurri had gone 11 games unbeaten on the road, winning nine. They are set up to thrive away from home.
Betting: Inter start with back-to-back home games against Sampdoria and Sassuolo where they're massive favourites. Their first away game is at Parma when there will be a touch more value in them to continue their away form.
With 12 games left of the 2019/20 season left to play, Lecce find themselves in something of a hole, scrapping for their Serie A survival in the bottom three. But for a struggling side, Lecce have scored an unusually high proportion of their goals from the penalty spot (seven from 34). In fact, only two teams in the whole league (Lazio and Juventus) have scored more goals from penalties than Lecce this season.
Scoring goals hasn’t been the primary issue for Fabio Liverani’s side. Keeping them out, on the other hand, has been the reason for their troubles down at the wrong end of the table. Nonetheless, a Lecce penalty goal is a solid bet when other struggling sides aren’t so solid when it comes to finding the back of the net.
Betting: Watch out for the referee appointments for Lecce's first game against AC Milan and pay special attention if Gianluca Rocchi is appointed as he's averaged a penalty per game over his 12 Serie A matches in charge this season. He's also awarded four penalties in three Lecce games this term - three of them to Lecce.
Best Bet:
Odds correct as of 1902 BST on 12/06/20
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