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Everton v Chelsea betting tips

  • 20:00 GMT on BT Sport 1
  • Match odds:

A good game to finish off Saturday's action and, rather interestingly, priced up exactly the same as the fixture before it. Chelsea travel to Everton as odds-on favourites and they are fancied to capitalise on the Toffees' recent poor form. Just one of their last seven has ended in victory.

Chelsea finished their Champions League campaign with a disappointing 1-1 draw against Krasnodar but they have now gone 14 games without seeing defeat, although you can stretch that to 17 games if you count the defeat on penalties to Tottenham as a draw in 90 minutes.

We have mentioned it before but Chelsea's fixtures haven't been too difficult and they have failed to beat those teams around them. That could be a problem when we talk about them as potential title contenders, but at least a game against Everton gives them a chance to continue the unbeaten run.

Goals are expected here given the attacking showings from both teams and over 2.5 goals is available at a very short 4/7. Both sit inside the top-five for xGF this season and both have already hit 20 goals after just eleven games. Everton's inability to keep clean sheets perhaps makes them more vunerable.

There's no arguing against the threat that the attacking trio of Richarlison, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and James Rodriguez bring. Rodriguez has failed to record a goal or assist across his last five games but, as Paul Macdonald explains here, that doesn't mean that his performances have dropped to an unacceptable level.

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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Everton have won their last two Premier League home games against Chelsea, last winning three in a row against the Blues between February 2010-February 2012.
  • Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti took charge of 76 Premier League games with Chelsea from 2009 to 2011, averaging 2.07 points per game in his spell with the Blues. Current Chelsea boss Frank Lampard played in 60 of these 76 matches, scoring 32 goals; only under José Mourinho did Lampard score more in the Premier League (49 in 140 appearances).
  • In his first five Premier League games this season, Everton’s James Rodríguez was involved in six goals (3 goals, 3 assists), and created on average 3.2 chances per 90 minutes. He’s not registered a single goal involvement in his subsequent five games, averaging 2.1 chances created per 90 minutes in those games.
  • Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the Premier League’s top scorer so far this season with 11 goals in 11 games – just two fewer than he netted in 36 appearances in the competition last term.
  • Olivier Giroud has scored in each of his last six Premier League starts for Chelsea – only Mark Stein (seven between December 1993 and February 1994) has scored in more consecutive starts for the Blues in the competition.

Manchester United v Manchester City betting tips

  • 17:30 GMT on Sky Sports Premier League
  • Match odds:

The highlight of the Premier League weekend comes at Old Trafford with the Manchester derby putting United up against City after contrasting weeks so far. City progressed to the Champions League round of 16 as group winners, United will finish the season in the Europa League after finishing behind PSG and RB Leipzig - that is despite winning three of their first four games.

City are odds-on for success here but, even with their problems and inconsistency under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, United have found ways to get the better of Pep Guardiola's men. The red side won in the last Old Trafford meeting and also won at the Etihad in the Carabao Cup around a month earlier.

That should make this an interesting battle, and as much as I don't like to buy into the 'form goes out the window in derbies' cliche, we have to acknowledge that United have done well in this fixture in recent times. Guardiola knows that, and he has acknowledged that Solskjaer can get his tactics spot on in the past.

READ: Alex Keble looks at the tactics behind the Manchester derby

This goes back to the point we have made in previous previews that you can't really argue the point in backing Manchester United to win football matches, but yet, despite seemingly jumping from crisis-to-crisis, they do keep picking up points.

They are awful yet they are brilliant, often across the space of 90 minutes. It is almost like a goal or two for the opposition kicks them into gear but it's just not a sustainable approach and this is why we are here. United have good parts about them, Bruno Fernandes is exceptional, yet he could score a hat-trick and we'd still be saying "well yes but the United defending."

That is outlined in the fact that Manchester United have only been winning at half-time in one of their last six games across all competitions, that being an expected win at home to Istanbul Basaksehir. They keep making slow starts and as better teams have shown, they can punish that.

READ: Richard Jolly analyses Manchester United

With that in mind, the 7/5 best price available on City to be winning at half-time looks really good value. United keep making poor starts and they are showing no signs of that coming to an end. It may not be a completely open and free-scoring game, but City can certainly start the better of the two sides.

Even with City winning at the break, we shouldn't be overly surprised to see if United find a way to get back into the contest and potentially win it. It totally depends on what United team turns up, it's almost a mystery at this point, but poor first-half performances remain the one rare consistency at the moment.

Score prediction: Manchester United 1-1 Manchester City ()

Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Manchester United won both Premier League meetings with Manchester City last season – they last won three in a row in the competition against their local rivals between November 2008-April 2010 (four wins).
  • Manchester City have won seven Premier League away games at Old Trafford, more than any other visiting side, with six of their seven such victories away to Manchester United coming in the previous nine seasons.
  • Just 21% of Manchester United’s Premier League points this season have been won in home games (4/19), the lowest share in the division so far this term.
  • Manchester United have won a league-high 15 points from losing positions this season (all away from home), with their victory against West Ham last time out putting them top of this particular stat all-time for the Premier League (385 points).
  • Of all managers to have faced Man City boss Pep Guardiola at least four times in all competitions, Man Utd’s Ole Gunnar Solskjær has the highest win rate against the Spaniard, with the Norwegian winning three of their five meetings (60%).

Newcastle v West Brom betting tips

  • 15:00 GMT on Sky Sports Premier League
  • Match odds:
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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Newcastle lost their last meeting with West Brom in the Premier League, going down 0-1 at home in April 2018. They’ve not lost consecutive league games against the Baggies since a run of three between 1977 and 1984.
  • West Brom are looking to win consecutive away league games against Newcastle for the first time since September 1966, following their 1-0 win at St James’ Park in April 2018.
  • Newcastle are looking to pick up back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since June, which was also the last time the Magpies kept consecutive clean sheets in the competition (in a run of three).
  • Callum Wilson has netted the winning goal in all four of Newcastle’s Premier League victories so far this season – only Son Heung-min (5) has scored more winning goals in the competition this term.
  • Newcastle’s Callum Wilson has been involved in 75% of Newcastle’s 12 Premier League goals this season (7 goals, 2 assists). Indeed, his nine goal involvements in nine Premier League games this season is as many as he managed in 35 league appearances last season (8 goals, 1 assist).

Wolves v Aston Villa betting tips

  • 12:30 GMT on BT Sport 1
  • Match odds:

Wolves haven't made the storming start to the season that perhaps some expected. They sit tenth with 17 points after eleven games, just two points above Aston Villa who have played two games less.

Given Liverpool's injury problems, Wolves had a good opportunity to get something at Anfield last week but failed to put in a performance that was anywhere near their usual levels. They were hammered 4-0 by Jurgen Klopp's side, a result that could well change their approach to this game as they look to keep things tight.

Whether they go for three at the back or a back four remains to be seen but they will not be wanting to concede anywhere near as many as they did last time out. Wolves' goal difference now stands at -4, only four teams have also scored fewer goals than Nuno Espirito Santo's men.

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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Wolves won both Premier League meetings with Aston Villa last season – they last won three league games in a row against the Villans between 1957 and 1960 (a run of seven).
  • After an 11-game unbeaten away run against Wolves in all competitions between 1978 and 2012 (W7 D4), Aston Villa have lost each of their last three visits to Molineux.
  • Wolves have conceded fewer home goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (5). Indeed, they’ve kept eight clean sheets in their last 12 Premier League games at Molineux.
  • Following an unbeaten run of eight Premier League games, Aston Villa have now lost four of their last five in the competition (W1), conceding at least twice in each defeat.
  • Wolves manager Nuno Espírito Santo has lost just two of his 16 home Premier League meetings with English managers (W9 D5), remaining unbeaten in his last nine such games since a 2-5 loss against Frank Lampard’s Chelsea last season.

Odds correct at 1700 GMT (10/12/20)

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