Free football betting tips: Premier League games on Saturday October 17

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Newcastle v Manchester United

  • 20:00 BST on Sky Sports Box Office
  • Match odds:
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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Newcastle have won two of their last three Premier League home games against Man Utd (L1), more than they had in their previous 13 against them at St James’ Park (W1 D3 L9).
  • Manchester United lost this exact fixture 0-1 last season – they’ve not lost back-to-back away league games against Newcastle since December 1987.
  • This is the first time Newcastle are facing Manchester United in a Premier League game while above them in the table since December 2013, when they won 1-0 at Old Trafford.
  • Newcastle have had fewer shots on target than any other side in the Premier League this season (8). However, they’ve netted six goals, meaning they’ve scored with a league-high 75% of their attempts on target so far this term.
  • Manchester United have shipped 11 Premier League goals so far this season, with only West Bromwich Albion (13) conceding more. It’s the second most the Red Devils have ever conceded three games into a league season, after 1930-31 (13).

Manchester City v Arsenal

  • 17:30 BST on Sky Sports Premier League
  • Match odds:
Manchester City defender Ruben Dias

Have we hit crisis stage with Manchester City stage yet? I'm not too sure. Are they enduring a seriously problematic start to the season? Most definitely.

Results elsewhere have almost masked City's poor start but they were hammered by Leicester before nearly being beaten by Leeds. Pep Guardiola's side may have dominated the opening 20 minutes at Elland Road but they could have so easily lost.

What those two games highlighted is just how problematic this City defence is; only the woodwork and Ederson denied Leeds scoring more than once before the international break. Arsenal have shown in the FA Cup that they can beat City, and the attractive odds on them getting something here and just too good to turn down.

Guardiola has spent an eye-watering amount of money on defenders and yet the defence remains a problem. It's beginning to feel like this season could be his last at the Etihad and the current problems can be exploited by a new-look Arsenal under Mikel Arteta.

Alex Keble's excellent tactical preview has more, but Arsenal did such a good job of setting traps and then hitting City on the counter in their victory at Wembley. The hosts leave huge gaps between their lines and that helped Leicester to success too.

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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • This is the third of their four Premier League games this season that Manchester City are starting the day in the bottom half of the table – as many as in their previous 375 matches in the competition.
  • Manchester City have won just four points from their three league games this season, their lowest total at this stage since 2010-11. Meanwhile, only twice in their league history have the Citizens lost both of their opening two home games in a season – 1930-31 and 1953-54.
  • Manchester City are winless in their last two Premier League games, last going three without a win in the competition back in April 2017 (4). The third game in that run was a 2-2 draw with Arsenal.
  • Arsenal have won eight of their last 12 Premier League games (D1 L3), more than they had in their previous 28 in the competition (W7 D13 L8). Indeed, since their loss to Brighton in June, no side has picked up more Premier League points than the Gunners (25).
  • Arsenal have had 77 10+ open play pass sequences in the Premier League this season, with only Chelsea having more (81). Indeed, since Mikel Arteta took over at the club, the Gunners have scored more goals following a sequence of 10 or more passes than any other side in the division (11).

Chelsea v Southampton

  • 15:00 BST on BT Sport Box Office
  • Match odds:
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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Chelsea have won seven of their last nine Premier League meetings with Southampton (D1 L1), though they did lose this exact fixture 0-2 last season.
  • Following their 2-0 win at Stamford Bridge last season, Southampton are looking to pick up back-to-back away league victories against Chelsea for the first time since March 1985.
  • Southampton are looking to win three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since a run of four in May 2016, while Saints last won three in a row without conceding in the competition in January 2016.

Everton v Liverpool

  • 12:30 BST on BT Sport
  • Match odds:
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Best bet:

Opta facts

  • Everton are winless in 19 Premier League meetings with Liverpool (D11 L8), since a 2-0 win in October 2010.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 22 meetings with Everton in all competitions – against no side have they ever had a longer run without defeat in their history (also 22 vs Aston Villa between 1981-1992).
  • Seven of the last eight Premier League meetings between Everton and Liverpool at Goodison Park have finished level, with Liverpool winning the other 1-0 in December 2016.
  • The last three Premier League meetings between Everton and Liverpool at Goodison Park have finished 0-0 – no specific fixture in English top-flight history has ever finished goalless in four consecutive matches before.
  • This is the first top-flight Merseyside derby with Everton starting the day top of the table since September 1989, when Liverpool won 3-1 at Goodison Park thanks to goals from Ian Rush (2) and John Barnes.

Odds correct at 1415 BST (15/10/20)

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