Premier League tips: Betting previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's action including Spurs, Leicester and Manchester United

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Burnley v Manchester United

  • 1945 kick-off on BT Sport
: Burnley 1-1 Manchester United

Best bet:

Key stats

Burnley forward Chris Wood celebrates a goal earlier in the season
  • None of Burnley’s last 16 Premier League home games have finished level, with the Clarets winning eight and losing eight at Turf Moor. No other side is a longer run without a draw at home in the competition
  • Manchester United have won just two of their last 13 Premier League away games (D4 L7). They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 14 on the road, while failing to score in four of their last seven away from Old Trafford in the top-flight.
  • Burnley have mustered just one shot on target over their last two Premier League games, Jay Rodriguez’s goal against Bournemouth. The Clarets have failed to have a single attempt on target in two different Premier League games this season – only Newcastle (3) have done so in more.
  • No side has kept fewer clean sheets in the Premier League this season than Manchester United (2). The Red Devils have conceded at least once in each of their last 14 games, the longest current run in the top-flight.
  • Among teenagers in the top five European leagues, only Jadon Sancho (12) has scored more goals in all competitions this season than Manchester United’s Mason Greenwood (8).
  • Marcus Rashford is enjoying his best ever goalscoring season in the Premier League for Manchester United, with 11 from his 19 appearances. Meanwhile, only Mohamed Salah has scored more winning goals in the Premier League this term than Rashford (4).

Brighton and Hove Albion v AFC Bournemouth

  • 1230 GMT kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League
Brighton's Adam Webster celebrates his goal against Tottenham

Not the most inspiring of fixtures to kick off the day's top-flight action, but Brighton have a great opportunity to bounce back after failing to hold a lead at Tottenham on Boxing Day.

Bournemouth, meanwhile, did manage to hold another north London side in Arsenal, but both sides are in pretty poor form at the minute - another reason this fixture fails to excite.

Both have won just one of their last eight and, as Dale Tempest wrote in his recent column about backing draws, you could quite easily see the points being shared here. Sides towards the bottom half are a lot more reluctant to leave themselves open at the back and few risks could be taken, making for quite a scrappy clash.

But, even with a low-scoring draw, a nice anytime goalscorer price lies on the home side's midfielder, Pascal Gross.

The German had three shots in the defeat at Spurs and has shown over the course of the season to regularly try his luck, with more than two shots in a game on six different occasions. He should really have more than just one strike to his name.

Considering his eye for goal, ability from set pieces and supporting role behind Neal Maupay, the 4/1 price on him to find the back of the net is the eye-catching price for this one.

Prediction: Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Brighton are winless in their four Premier League matches with Bournemouth (D1 L3), losing this exact fixture 0-5 last season.
  • Bournemouth won their last Premier League away game, 1-0 against Chelsea. They last won back-to-back league games on the road in October 2018. The Cherries are also unbeaten in their last three Premier League away games against fellow south coast sides, netting 11 goals in that run (W2 D1).
  • Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has scored in all three of his league games at the Amex Stadium (1 in Championship, 2 in Premier League), also providing two assists in the Cherries 5-0 win at the ground last season.
  • Five of Brighton’s last nine Premier League goals have been scored by defenders (Adam Webster x2, Lewis Dunk x2 and Shane Duffy). These five strikes have also all come from set-piece situations.
  • Bournemouth’s Dan Gosling has scored two goals in six Premier League appearances this season, as many as he netted in 25 games in the competition last term.

Newcastle United v Everton

  • 1500 GMT kick-off
: Newcastle 1-2 Everton

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Everton have won four of their last six Premier League away games against Newcastle (L2), having won just three of their first 18 visits to St James’ Park in the competition (D4 L11).
  • Newcastle are unbeaten in their last eight home Premier League games (W4 D4), last enjoying a longer run at St James’ Park in the competition between January-April 2012 (9 games).
  • Everton have won just one of their last 12 Premier League away games (D4 L7), beating Southampton 2-1 in November. The Toffees are without a clean sheet on the road in eight league games, having kept a shutout in five of their previous nine away from home.
  • Following their 1-4 defeat at Man Utd last time out, Newcastle are looking to avoid losing back-to-back Premier League games for the first time since their opening two games of the season.
  • Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored six goals in his 17 Premier League games this season, equalling his best goalscoring return in a single top-flight campaign (six in 35 appearances in 2018-19).
  • Carlo Ancelotti won his first Premier League match in charge of Everton – only Joe Royle in 1994 and David Moyes in 2002 have won their first two in charge of the Toffees in the competition.

Southampton v Crystal Palace

  • 1500 GMT kick-off
: Southampton 0-2 Crystal Palace

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Southampton haven’t won their last league game in a calendar year since 2010 (4-1 vs Huddersfield in League One), drawing three and losing five since. Their last such victory as a Premier League side was back in 2002 (2-1 vs Sunderland).
  • Crystal Palace have won nine away league games in 2019 – only in five calendar years have they reached double figures for away league victories (12 in 1960, 11 in 1961 and 2015, and 10 in 1996 and 1997).
  • Just 33% of Southampton’s Premier League points have been won in home games this season (7/21), the lowest ratio in the division. Indeed, in a league table based purely on home games, Saints would be bottom with seven points and a goal difference of -15.
  • Danny Ings has scored four goals in his last six Premier League home games for Southampton, as many as he had in his first 16 for Saints at St Mary’s Stadium.
  • Jordan Ayew’s five Premier League goals this season have been worth nine points to Crystal Palace; only two players have ever had more valuable goals in a single Premier League campaign for the Eagles (Andrew Johnson 15 in 2004-05 and Christian Benteke 12 in 2016-17)

Watford v Aston Villa

  • 1500 GMT kick-off
: Watford 1-0 Aston Villa

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Watford’s victory against Man Utd in their last home league game ended a run of 12 without a win at Vicarage Road (D5 L7). It was also the first time this season the Hornets had taken the lead in a Premier League home match.
  • Aston Villa have only won one of their last 27 Premier League away games (D4 L22), winning 5-1 at Norwich in October. The Villans have won fewer points on the road than any other side in the Premier League this season (4).
  • Watford have won four points in their last two Premier League games, as many as they had from the previous 21 available in the competition (W1 D1 L5).
  • Watford have conceded more goals from penalties than any other Premier League side this season (5). Meanwhile, Aston Villa are one of just four clubs yet to score from the spot this season.

Norwich City v Tottenham Hotspur

  • 1730 GMT kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League
: Norwich 1-2 Spurs

Best bet:

Key stats

  • After a run of 12 Premier League away games without a win, Tottenham have won two of their last three on the road (L1). The Lilywhites are without a clean sheet in 16 Premier League away games, their longest run without one in the top-flight since a run of 20 between April 1976-April 1977.
  • Norwich are winless in their last six Premier League home games (D1 L5), and are without a clean sheet in their last 13 at Carrow Road in the competition. Indeed, the Canaries have conceded at least twice in their last eight Premier League home games, the second longest such run in the competition’s history (Wolves, 11 in April 2012).
  • Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored four goals in his two Premier League appearances against Norwich. Indeed, in all competitions since the start of 2014-15, Kane has scored 17 goals in 15 games against sides he’s previously played for (13 in 12 vs Leicester, 4 in 2 vs Norwich, 0 in 1 vs Millwall).
  • Tottenham’s Dele Alli has been involved in more goals in all competitions for the club under José Mourinho than any other player (8 – 5 goals, 3 assists).
  • Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored 135 goals in 199 Premier League appearances. The only players with more in their first 200 matches in the competition are Alan Shearer (145) and Sergio Agüero (138).

West Ham v Leicester City

  • 1730 GMT kick-off
: West Ham 0-2 Leicester

Best bet:

Key stats

  • West Ham have won just one of their last nine Premier League meetings with Leicester (D4 L4), with their 2-0 victory in May 2018 also their only clean sheet against the Foxes in this run.
  • West Ham have lost their last three Premier League home games, conceding three goals in each defeat. Only three teams in Premier League history have conceded 3+ goals in four consecutive home games – Crystal Palace in April 1998, Bradford in February 2001 and Fulham in March 2014. Of those sides, only Crystal Palace and Fulham lost all four games.
  • West Ham have dropped a league-high 15 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, more than they had in the entire season in both 2018-19 (12) and 2017-18 (14).
  • Leicester’s Jamie Vardy is the highest Premier League goalscorer in 2019 with 29 goals, and could become just the seventh different player to score as many as 30 in a single calendar year in the competition.

Odds correct as of 1300 GMT on 27/12/19

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