Premier League tips: Betting previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's action including Chelsea and Manchester City

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Crystal Palace v Manchester City

  • 1730 BST kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League
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Best bet:

Key stats

  • Crystal Palace are looking to secure three consecutive Premier League wins within the same season for the first time since May 2018. The Eagles have alternated between a draw and a win over their last six Premier League home games.
  • There have been 19 Premier League goals scored this season following a move of 10+ passes – eight of them have been scored by Manchester City (42%), while no other side has scored more than two such goals.
  • In Man City boss Pep Guardiola’s managerial league career, the only English manager he’s ever lost to is Crystal Palace’s Roy Hodgson (2-3 at the Etihad, December 2018).
  • Only at Anfield (7) has Man City striker Sergio Agüero played more Premier League games without finding the net than he has at Selhurst Park (6).
  • Jordan Ayew’s three Premier League goals this season have been worth six points to Crystal Palace – only Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s goals have been more valuable to a side (9).

Everton v West Ham

  • 1230 BST kick-off on BT Sport
his job.

Despite all their work on the training ground, the Toffees are yet to score from a set piece and have conceded five, so do not be surprised to see the Hammers exploit that here.

Manuel Pellegrini's West Ham are eighth having started the season pretty well, but the home defeat at Palace last time out means they are now without a win in three in all competitions.

Promising news for Hammers fans is the fact they are unbeaten on the road in the league this term and they can be confident of piling the misery on their hosts. They have drawn three times on the road, but have threatening options going forward and can start afresh after the international break.

With Everton's dodgy home record - they've conceded at least two goals in all of their last three at Goodison, a far cry from last season - and things just aren't clicking, so backing the visitors is all the more tempting. They are available at just under 2/1 in a draw no bet, a nice added insurance in case the Londoners are to share the points once again.

Prediction: Everton 0-2 West Ham ()

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Everton lost this exact fixture 1-3 last season – they haven’t lost consecutive home games against West Ham in the top-flight since March 1930.
  • Both of West Ham’s Premier League defeats this season have been in home games – the Hammers are unbeaten in six away games in the competition (W3 D3), their longest run on the road since January 2009 (7).
  • Everton are winless in their last eight early Saturday kick-offs (D3 L5), since beating Chelsea 3-1 in September 2015 thanks to a Steven Naismith hat-trick.
  • Only Watford (3.5%) have a lower shot conversion rate than Everton (5.8%) in the Premier League this season. The Toffees have found the net with just one of their last 47 attempts in the competition.

Aston Villa v Brighton and Hove Albion

: Aston Villa 2-0 Brighton ()

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Aston Villa have scored at least twice in three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since April 2010. They last did so in four in a row in April 2008.
  • Wesley has been involved in five goals in his last six Premier League games (4 goals, 1 assist), and is Aston Villa’s top scorer in the competition this season (4).
  • Brighton have failed to score in 23 of their 42 Premier League away games, including six of their last eight on the road. Among teams to have played in more than two full Premier League campaigns, Brighton have failed to score in the highest ratio of away games (55%).

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AFC Bournemouth v Norwich City

: Bournemouth 1-1 Norwich ()

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Bournemouth and Norwich are the only Premier League sides yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Norwich have conceded more goals than any other side (21).
  • Since they were promoted to the Premier League in 2015, Bournemouth have had 90 games in which both teams have scored in the competition – only Leicester (93) and Arsenal (92) have had more in that time.

Chelsea v Newcastle United

As stated in our recent analysis of Arsenal's season, the disarray at Tottenham and Manchester United this season means some other sides are going fairly unnoticed and are going quietly about their business and this can also be said for Chelsea.

Frank Lampard's side sit fifth in the table and have lost just one of their last seven in the Premier League and their games have been filled with goals - five of their last six have had over 2.5 in total.

Newcastle made the most of a Man United crisis to get a great win at St James' Park, but the international could have halted their progress and they do not look like they have the goals in them to continue such a run. The Blues might even make it back-to-back home clean sheets.

There was a temptation to back the hosts to score 3+ at 11/10, but Ross Barkley is a more appealing price to get on the score sheet at 7/2.

The midfielder had a promising pre-season for Chelsea but his performances nose-dived and he has seen his Premier League involvement reduced. After his brace for England in midweek, Lampard could see it as a good opportunity to bring him back into the fold and Barkley needs to take his chance after seeing team-mate Mason Mount thrive in the team.

Barkley averages three shots per game in the league and, if he gets the nod, the 25-year-old will be keen to make his mark to ease the pressure from Chelsea fans, who have been slightly frustrated with his displays so far this season.

: Chelsea 3-0 Newcastle ()

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Chelsea have won their last six Premier League home games against Newcastle, scoring 17 goals and conceding three.
  • Newcastle have won just one of their last 25 away league games against Chelsea (D7 L17), winning 2-0 under Alan Pardew in May 2012.
  • Excluding own goals, Chelsea have scored 13 Premier League goals through English players this season, at least five more than any other side.
  • Chelsea’s Tammy Abraham is the first English player to score as many as eight goals in his side’s first eight Premier League games of a season since Wayne Rooney in 2011-12 (9).

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Leicester City v Burnley

: Leicester 2-2 Burnley ()

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Burnley are winless in their last six away league games (D2 L4), though the last three have all ended level and featured an equaliser in the final 10 minutes (2 for Burnley, 1 against).
  • Leicester are unbeaten in six home league games (W4 D2), winning the last three in a row by an aggregate score of 10-2. They last won more in a row at the King Power Stadium between February-May 2017 (a run of five).
  • Since Brendan Rodgers’ first league game in charge of Leicester on March 3rd, only Liverpool (52), Man City (46) and Chelsea (33) have won more Premier League points than the Foxes (31).

Tottenham Hotspur v Watford

: Spurs 2-1 Watford ()

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Watford have scored just four Premier League goals this season, but based on Opta’s expected goals (xG), the quality of chances they’ve had means they should have scored 11 – giving them the biggest negative difference between goals and xG in the division (7).
  • Tottenham have lost five of their last 33 Premier League meetings with sides starting the day bottom of the table (W23 D5 L5) – all five of those defeats have been against teams beginning with ‘W’ (West Ham, Wigan and West Brom x3).
  • Spurs have won six of their nine Premier League home games since moving into the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (W6 D1 L2), including winning three of their four such games this term.
  • Tottenham have lost more games in all competitions in 2019 than any other Premier League side (17). The last calendar year in which they lost more games was 2008 (19).

Wolves v Southampton

: Wolves 1-1 Southampton ()

Best bet:

Key stats

  • Southampton have won three of their four Premier League meetings with Wolves (L1). All four meetings between the two sides in the competition have been won by a margin of two or more goals.
  • No Premier League side have kept more away clean sheets in all competitions this season than Southampton (4). Saints have kept four clean sheets in six away games this term – just two fewer than they’d kept in 23 on the road last season.
  • Southampton’s Danny Ings is looking to score in three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since January 2015. All three league games he’s scored in this season have ended in defeat, more than any other player in the competition.

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Odds correct as of 1500 BST on 17/10/19

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