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Arsenal v West Ham

  • 20:00 BST - Sky Sports Premier League
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Leeds celebrate after Patrick Bamford's goal against Fulham at Elland Road

Opta facts

  • The side playing at home has not lost any of the last eight league meetings between Leeds United and Fulham (W3 D5), winning the last three in a row. Indeed, in the Premier League, the home team has won each of the last four clashes between the two sides.
  • After their 3-0 win over Fulham in June in the Championship, Leeds are looking to win back-to-back league meetings with the Cottagers for the first time since December 2003, during their last Premier League season.
  • After winning their first ever Premier League game in Yorkshire (1-0 v Leeds in April 2002), Fulham have lost their last seven top-flight trips to the county by an aggregate score of 3-18.
  • Leeds scored with all three of their shots on target in their opening day defeat against Liverpool – the Whites scored with just 31% of their shots on target in the Championship last season, the joint-4th lowest rate in the division.
  • Patrick Bamford has scored in two of his last three Premier League appearances (dating back to May 2017), including a Leeds debut goal in the competition last week. He hadn’t scored in any of his first 25 games in the competition, though only two of those appearances were as a starter.

Everton v West Brom

  • 12:30 BST - BT Sport
Dominic Calvert-Lewin celebrates scoring for Everton against Tottenham in the Premier League

The Saturday Premier League coupon has returned to some normality with four home teams all odds-on for success. In the early kick-off, it's hard to argue against the 8/15 available on Everton to pick up another three points.

Carlo Ancelotti's side were excellent in their 1-0 victory over Tottenham and should have won by a greater margin given the impact of their new-look midfield.

Richarlison was the standout performer on the left wing and it was a performance that deserved a goal. However, on the opposite flank, James Rodriguez had little issue in adapting to life in new surroundings and provided a threat throughout the 91 minutes he was involved for.

I'd agree with Paul Macdonald of FootballCritic that Richarlison's performance against Tottenham could well bring a goal here, but in a game where the Toffees are expected to net on more than one occasion, Rodriguez looks the value.

The winger is a best price of 5/2 with Betfair and Paddy Power to score anytime. That price is decent enough and worth consideration but the 10/1 with Sky Bet on a goal coming from outside the area just seems a tad too generous and is preferred.

Two of Rodriguez's three shots against Tottenham came from outside the area and he came close to netting a debut goal with one of those efforts just curling wide of the post. That is hardly a surprise; this is a player who has averaged over two shots per game across his last six seasons and so often they come from range.

A look back at the 2018/19 Bundesliga season, where Rodriguez only started 13 games for Bayern Munich, has him joint-second for most goals scored from outside the area by midfield players. He's proven that it is a strong area if allowed the right amount of game time to strike.

The great news for Rodriguez, for Everton and indeed the neutral is that he will be a regular starter in this squad. The 2014/15 season at Real Madrid, where Ancelotti and Rodriguez were together, also brought 17 goals and 18 assists for the Colombian international. Perhaps we should expect to see a similar 2.1 shots per game average of which 1.1 were on target in that campaign.

Against a West Brom team whose transfer activity has left a lot to be desired, and whose opening game was maybe a good indicator of how this season will go, it's worth taking the bigger odds on Rodriguez to strike from outside the area.

There's little point sitting and arguing against Everton's odds for victory here, but with the Asian Handicap sitting on -1 in the home team's favour, the 6/4 with Betfair on Everton to win with a -1 handicap is where the best outright bet can be found. But at 10/1, we can't turn down a strike from distance from one of the Toffees' new boys.

Score prediction: Everton 2-0 West Brom ()

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