1pt Abdoulaye Doucoure to be shown a card in Watford v Newcastle at 9/2

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Stoke v Crystal Palace (1230 BST, Sky Sports Premier League)

It's a must-win for Stoke on Saturday as they simply have to claim victory to give themselves a chance of staying up in the Premier League.

They have picked up points in recent weeks, but their inability to turn one of their three draws in as many matches into wins may well come back to haunt them.

The Potters welcome a Crystal Palace side who are in decent form. Their revival under Roy Hodgson has pushed them clear of real relegation trouble and they are without defeat in their last four.

Palace hammered Leicester 5-0 last time out and will have confidence flowing through them.

This could be problematic for Stoke who know that nothing less than three points will be satisfactory.

A win for Stoke would take the relegation battle right down to the final day, but I'd be looking at them to continue their winless run by picking up a point against Palace.

The draw is best priced at 5/2 and that seems decent enough value to me given the circumstances.

Martin Atkinson is the referee for this one and he is one of the Premier League's stricter referees.

On average, Atkinson has shown just under 40 booking points each game this season - 39.5 to be exact - so we should see more cards in this one.

Joe Allen is Stoke's most-carded player in the Premier League this season with eight yellow cards.

He's 3/1 to be shown a card at anytime and I'll put that as one of my best bets for this one.

Stoke 1-1 Crystal Palace (Tom Carnduff)

Stoke and Crystal Palace to draw at 5/2

Joe Allen to be shown a card at 3/1

Bournemouth 1-1 Swansea (Tom Carnduff)

Bournemouth and Swansea to draw at 5/2

Joshua King to score anytime at 23/10

Leicester 1-2 West Ham (Tom Carnduff)

Harry Maguire to be shown a card at 6/1

Marko Arnautovic to score anytime at West Ham to win at 7/2

Watford v Newcastle (1500 BST)

Watford’s season has been petering out for a while now and they have Newcastle to face before ending the campaign away at Manchester United.

The Hornets would undoubtedly have taken this option over an end-of-season relegation scrap, and two draws in their last five have taken them to 38 points and clear of the drop – with four other teams between them and the bottom three.

I have covered Watford in previews a few times in recent weeks and feel like I have wrote about them only winning three Premier League games in 2018 so often – but that still stands and it is not a good return for the Hertfordshire outfit.

Javi Gracia’s men have lost five and drawn two of their last seven yet they still have very much to play for, with the prospect of a best ever Premier League finish.

The Hornets finished 13th in 2015/16 and they are in the same position with two games to go and can finish above that depending on how other teams around them do.

Watford can be backed at around 6/4 to get the home win, against Rafa Benitez’s 10th-placed Newcastle (2/1).

Watford 0-2 Newcastle (George Pitts)

Newcastle to win and over 1.5 total goals at 31/10

Abdoulaye Doucoure to be shown a card at 9/2

West Brom v Tottenham (1500 BST)

Just as West Brom looked certain to finish bottom of the Premier League, their mini end-of-season revival under Darren Moore has given them hope.

Baggies fans have to remain realistic and accept that the chances of a Great Escape volume two are very high, but their recent results have provided them with some pride and even the chance of not finishing bottom.

Moore has been impressive since replacing Alan Pardew, ending an eight-game losing streak by drawing with Swansea before beating Manchester United at Old Trafford, coming from two goals down to draw with Liverpool and most recently winning at Newcastle.

They are five points behind 17th-placed Swansea with six to play for, but the Welsh side also have a game in-hand. It may be too little, too late for Albion but they will be keen to get a result when Tottenham visit the Hawthorns.

The hosts are around 7/1 to win the match and a draw can be backed at 4s, so the bookies have little faith in Albion continuing their good form under their caretaker manager.

Spurs are odds-on for the victory in the Midlands and they still need to secure a top-four finish.

Mauricio Pochettino’s men still have a five-point lead over fifth-placed Chelsea with three games remaining. Anything other than a win could make for a nervy ending to the campaign for the north Londoners.

West Brom 1-3 Tottenham (George Pitts)

Salomon Rondon and Harry Kane both to score at 9/2

Tottenham to win with a -1-goal handicap at 11/10

Everton v Southampton (1730 BST, BT Sport 1)

This is a meeting between two established Premier League sides who have lost their respective identities this season.

Everton have been steered clear of any danger by Sam Allardyce and look on course for an eighth-placed finish, yet fans are still ungrateful and are protesting to get their manager out. Some will probably even want their side to lose in order to make the club’s hierarchy consider Allardyce’s position.

Southampton, meanwhile, never looked like a team battling relegation before the start of this season – they were probably looking up rather than down after reaching the Carabao Cup final and finishing eighth under Claude Puel.

They have since parted company with Puel and his successor Mauricio Pellegrino, with Mark Hughes left to save their Premier League status. The Welsh manager has given them hope after a draw and win in their last two games leaves them a point from safety with three games to play.

While Everton have been quite solid at home this season, Southampton are fighting for survival and understandably favourites with the books at around 8/5.

They are worth backing to get the result and if you combine that with over 1.5 total goals you can get odds of 23/10. The atmosphere on Merseyside could affect the players with fans voicing their disapproval of Allardyce’s style of play – and Saint can make the most of it.

Everton 1-2 Southampton (George Pitts)

Southampton to beat Everton at 33/20

Southampton to win and over 1.5 total goals at 23/10


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Preview posted at 1955 BST (03/05/18)

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