While there are eight games remaining of the Bundesliga season, this result could decide the title with Bayern sitting four points clear of RB Leipzig at the top of the table. An away win will send them well on their way to yet another trophy.
The significance of this game is clear, but it is heightened by the fact that there are key figures missing on both sides. Alphonso Davies is suspended for Bayern, while the prolific Robert Lewandowski is out with an injury picked up during the international break with Poland.
Leipzig are still without the likes of Angelino, Konrad Laimer and Dominik Szoboszlai, while Dayot Upamecano remains an injury doubt. There is more pressure on the hosts given the current four-point gap and, even with their own absentees, they will be boosted by those missing on the other side.
He can play on either wing and the hope here is that Gnabry moves to free up the left-wing role for him to play in. Gnabry has been a secondary striker to Lewandowski on a couple of occasions, while also holding the centre forward role in a cup game. Flick clearly sees this as a position he can play in.
There is also the possibility of Coman playing as a striker but that seems less likely. What makes the above 4/1 price on a Coman goal anytime attractive is the fact that he's had at least one shot in each of his last 11 Bundesliga appearances.
Six of those games saw two or more, while he went on a four-game run throughout February with at least three shots in each. 41 shots across 21 league games this season highlight why he should have more than the three goals on his tally.
He's not a prolific shot taker, and that's worth noting, but the attacking intent of Bayern's full-backs could present an opportunity to strike in this game. The fact that Hernandez has two assists on his tally, despite being a centre-back playing out on the left, highlights this.
While Benjamin Pavard is likely to be the more attacking of the two full-backs, I'd still expect to see Hernandez in and around the box when Bayern attack. There is also the added presence at set-piece situations. It's a value play, but one that has landed this season, and the each-way price coming out at above 26/1 for a goal anytime is too big given his position on the pitch.
Goretzka delivered an anytime goalscorer winner at odds of 6/1 in the game against Dortmund, that being the each-way price on a first goalscorer tip, and his goalscoring run didn't end there. Since that preview, he netted first against Bremen and then scored the opener for Germany in their 3-0 win over Iceland last week.
The goal against Dortmund was actually rare in that it came late in the game. When he scores, it tends to be the first or second goal of the game - he has seven on his tally across all competitions for Bayern this season.
Goretzka's on a nine-game run of having at least one shot in the Bundesliga with seven of those games seeing two or more. Across the course of the league campaign, he's taken a total of 35 shots which more than demonstrates his presence in attack.
It's why the outright result is one to be avoided, but we can't ignore the fact that Leipzig have failed to win any of the last six meetings between the two. The only time they have beaten them, Naby Keita and Timo Werner were on the scoresheet in March 2018 and James Rodriguez got the assist on the Bayern goal.
Even in the 0-0 draw last season, the combined xG of both teams was 2.59 and the meeting earlier this season ended in a 3-3 draw. While there is some small temptation to take Bayern's 11/8 price on victory, I would wager on the over 3.5 goals line if we were searching for an outright market.
Instead though, Lewandowski's absence provides good value in the goalscorer market and it's worth taking COMAN, GORETZKA and HERNANDEZ to be involved at big odds.
Score prediction: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern Munich ()
Odds correct at 11:30 BST (01/04/21)
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