It's four years ago this week that Barcelona completed their famous second leg comeback against PSG. The French side held a 4-0 lead going into that game, and while they are 4-1 up from the first leg this year, we shouldn't expect a repeat of one of the Champions League's greatest ever nights.
Kylian Mbappe ran riot in Spain with a hat-trick. All four of PSG's goals came after going behind to a Lionel Messi penalty and Barca's need to attack will surely suit the hosts here. We saw them get forward with explosive pace and this contest presents an opportunity to do that again.
Perhaps the memories of that famous night at the Camp Nou will still haunt some of those still in Paris but this Barcelona team just doesn't have the same feel to the one that overturned that huge deficit. There is a best price of 25/1 on Barca qualifying for the next round - a bet that will be backed through sentiment rather than present day by some.
Since the tactical switch, Dest has seen three shots across his last two LaLiga appearances. That is a significant jump when we compare it to the season average, with six shots coming in his previous 18 league games. He has scored this season with a group stage goal against Dynamo Kyiv.
Even at full-back he's possessed an attacking threat. Alba has seen 15 shots in his last 15 LaLiga contests and had two from left midfield against Osasuna. He could benefit from an aggressive start from the visitors and the 40/1 on him netting the first goal is generous if they stick with the system, particularly as it gives around 13/1 on the anytime odds.
Both players are worth a small stakes play each-way on the first goal in this game. The importance of that first goal could not be clearer and Barcelona know they have to get it. With the likes of Lionel Messi and Antoine Griezmann all shorter prices, I'm willing to gamble on DEST and ALBA being involved early on.
We know Barcelona have been good for scoring first in recent games and that will put them in a good position for a half-time lead. They may have hope at one stage, but this should be PSG's night, even if the main questions afterwards will be on Lionel Messi's potential final appearance in the competition for Barca.
Score prediction: PSG 2-1 Barcelona ()
Odds correct at 1425 GMT (08/03/21)
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