is our game. The Magpies are up their in the bookings stakes, but it's seven matches since they received more than two. The Blues meanwhile have managed to avoid a yellow card on five occasions in all competitions.
Newcastle's record means this could provide some juicy odds, further enhanced by Craig Pawson's appointment as referee.
The man from South Yorkshire has dished out plenty of cards this term, but eight came in Arsenal v Leicester, hugely skewing his average. His tendency to be handed high-profile games helps lift that overall number too, with four yellows awarded in Liverpool v Arsenal and Man City v Liverpool.
But his two 'run-of-the-mill' games? Which is what we care about. Bingo: Brighton v Chelsea (1), Newcastle v Man Utd (2).
Saturday lunchtime at St James' is where the value should lie when the markets go live.
We've been here before, Leicester are being underpriced to spring a shock.
I cannot promise that this recommendation will see the Foxes romp to victory at Anfield as in the fashion they did by thrashing Manchester City 5-2, days after we highlighted the startling prices on offer via this very column, but we can point you towards what is unquestionable value.
Liverpool deserve to be huge favourites. The Premier League champions equalled their club record of 63 home league games unbeaten by beating West Ham last time out, but with that comes the pressure of being 90 minutes from history.
That though, is just the glaze on top of the cherry on top of the icing in terms of what is in Leicester's favour this weekend.
The Reds' injury crisis has been well documented, but it has severely worsened over the international break. Andy Robertson, Jordan Henderson, Mo Salah and Trent Alexander-Arnold (technically in the final seconds before the break) are now sidelined, while Joe Gomez has been ruled out for most of the season following knee surgery.
But Jurgen Klopp's team remain odds-on for victory against a Leicester side top of the table, on a six-game winning streak and with a 100% away record on the road in all competitions this season.
Brendan Rodgers' team simply have to be worth backing in some capacity, with an in places.
A controversial James Milner penalty deep in stoppage time secured Liverpool a 2-1 win last term, the season prior their Anfield meeting finished 1-1, and in 2017/18 Mo Salah's late strike gave Liverpool a come-from-behind 2-1 victory.
Call me a wimp, but I would probably go with the draw and love the 8/1 on offer for it finish 1-1.
But I cannot deny that Leicester to win 1-0 (16/1), 2-1 (14/1) and 3-1 (30/1) are mouthwatering prices given the threadbare defence the home side could be forced to put it out.
The usually stoic defences of Palace, Burnley and Sheffield United were hammered 4-0, 3-0 and 4-1. West Brom tried to defend a half-time 3-0 lead, and it ended it all square.
I can't see a Newcastle side who eventually succumbed 4-1 at home to Manchester United being any more successful.
After a high-scoring start to the season, 31 of the past 40 matches have involved under 3.5 goals, and 25 of the past 30. Sheffield United and Wolves remain our go-to teams, but it's a highly reliable market at the moment.
Look past the Blades' 4-1 thrashing by Chelsea last time out, and 47 of their previous 50 matches had involved under 3.5 goals. For Wolves, it's now 19 from 22 for under 2.5.
One to watch in case there has been a meeting of minds over the international break, and we suddenly see a drop in numbers. Since 2006/07 there have been between 80 and 106 penalties awarded every season; at the current rate we're on for 200.
There have been 41 already and we have had only 78 fixtures, so backing a designated penalty-taker to score puts things further in your favour, especially if they happen to be midfielders like Southampton's James Ward-Prowse or Leeds' Mateusz Klich, whose price isn't anywhere near as short as a 20-goal striker with spot-kick duties.
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