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Sure, Ezekiel Elliott looks like he’ll score every single week – but at 1/2 for an anytime touchdown, the value simply isn’t there.
In this article I’ll be looking for offensive/defensive mismatches, sneaky backups and more, with some high value touchdown scorers definitely worth taking a look at.
The Cowboys’ defence stinks. Their defensive backs group is arguably the worst in the league – they’ve surrendered 1,088 yards & 11 touchdowns to WRs this season.
McLaurin is a stud, and Washington’s sole premier weapon. Last week against the Giants, McLaurin saw a team high 12 targets, more than double any teammate.
We know Scary Terry will get volume this game, and against this Cowboys’ defence he’s going to feast.
Hockenson leads the Lions in touchdowns and red zone targets. He’s scored in back-to-back games and I like him to make it three on the bounce against the Falcons.
Over the past two weeks he’s had six red zone targets, including four with just goal-to-go – he’s established himself as Stafford’s favourite weapon in the red zone.
The Falcons have the worst defence in the league to tight ends, giving up 438 yards and a league high seven touchdowns to the position. The over/under for total match points is set at 55, in what is set up to be a high scoring affair.
Hockenson will see plenty of opportunities to find the end zone.
Joshua Kelley’s fumbles are Justin Jackson’s gain.
Before the Chargers’ bye week, Jackson led their RB group in snaps, touches, yards and receptions. The Jags have given up the joint-most touchdowns to running backs out of any defence, alongside nearly 1,000 total yards.
With Minshew seemingly deteriorating every week, and on the verge of being benched, this will be a very positive game script for the Chargers - giving more snaps & more opportunities for Jackson to find the end zone.
Odds correct at 1730 (23/10/20)
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