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Leeds v Brighton

  • 15:00 GMT on Sky Sports Main Event
  • Match odds:

Leeds hit the headlines last weekend for suffering a 3-0 defeat to Sky Bet League Two side Crawley in the FA Cup, a result tipped up in our preview at 5/1, and the focus will be on putting things right as they welcome Brighton. The Seagulls nearly suffered a shock of their own as they won on penalties against Newport and then narrowly losing to Manchester City in midweek.

Leeds look a decent enough price at 21/20 for victory here. Marcelo Bielsa reportedly held back first team players due to get minutes in the under-23s so that they can focus on bouncing back from the Crawley result. The Whites have beaten Burnley, Newcastle and Fulham at home this season, three teams who surround Brighton in the table.

The Seagulls struggle to win football matches and they are really held back by their inability to pick up three points on a more regular basis. They could well win here, it's not a ridiculously tough match in terms of the season, but that will only really mean something if they can follow it up with a win over Fulham next.

Brighton could well score though and we're again targeting set-pieces in a game like this. We had a successful 11/4 tip in the City game on them having at least four corners, which they did, but the price on that is drastically reduced for this contest. With corners expected for the visitors, it's worth looking at a big-priced goalscorer to strike.

Adam Webster was a tip in our last Saturday Premier League preview at a price of 16/1. They drew 3-3 with Wolves and Webster agonisingly hit the crossbar from a cross. Despite that not coming in, I'm willing to keep my faith in the defender scoring given Leeds' defending at set-pieces.

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Leeds v Brighton best bets


Opta facts

  • Leeds have conceded 33 goals in their 17 Premier League games this season – the Whites had only conceded 35 in their 46 Championship games last term.
  • Leeds are looking to win three consecutive home games in the Premier League for the first time since a run of five between April-August 2001 under David O’Leary.
  • Brighton are winless in their last nine Premier League games (D5 L4), the longest current run in this season’s competition.
  • Brighton are averaging 12.3 shots per game in the Premier League this season, their highest in a single Premier League campaign. However, just 28% of these shots have been on target, their lowest ratio in a single season in the competition.
  • Brighton have dropped more points from winning positions than any other side in the Premier League this season (12).

Odds correct at 1700 GMT (14/01/21)

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