Southgate's team have led at half-time in eight of their last nine wins, with the only exception a dramatic 2-1 victory over Croatia in their previous Nations League campaign.
With smaller stakes, I really like too. That has happened in three of their last four wins - is there for the more risk averse.
And finally, I cannot in good conscience leave the England captain out of the staking plan for this one.
He's found the net in each of the team's past six matches, scoring 10 goals in total - including two hat-tricks.
is where my money is going. He's also a huge 18/1 to bag a fourth treble for his country, and 5/2 as first goalscorer, both of which are tempting.
He finished the season in superb form for Tottenham, with five goals in his last three appearances, so let's hope he carries that into Saturday's match for the Three Lions.
Keep your eyes peeled for a boosted offer on a Kane brace because that's paid off for us in the past when tipping him for Tottenham, with some bookies offering as high as 10/1 on the day and living to regret it.
I'm still taking the 4/1 though.
Score prediction: Iceland 0-3 England ()
Best bets:
Odds correct as of 1530 BST on 03/09/20
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