Nottingham Forest v Fulham (Sky Sports Football, 17:00 BST)

This was a solid selection when the TV games were announced but it's now a contest between two sides who seem certainties to finish in the play-offs.

Fulham need to hope for a major slip-up from Leeds or West Brom and then find a three-game swing over the next five games. At this point in the campaign it's too much to ask.

For Forest, they will be feeling frustrated after they threw away three points against Derby last time out. Sitting at 1-0, a needless free-kick given away in the 97th minute allowed their East Midlands rivals the chance to score. However, they still have the comfort of a seven-point gap from the Rams who sit in seventh.

This is Fulham's last game without star striker Aleksandar Mitrovic who has been serving a three-game ban for elbowing Leeds defender Ben White. Even without him leading the line, Fulham managed to secure two wins from two.

Bobby Decordova-Reid has filled the striker role in his absence and it's a best price of 12/5 that he nets in this contest. Instead, it is worth delving into the stats-based markets to find one of the best bets in this contest.