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Brighton v Burnley (1730 GMT on BT Sport 1)


This game just looks like a low-scoring Burnley win - everything surrounding the game, the recent record between the two sides and their form seems to line up perfectly for a close game, but we'll go with the Clarets to pinch it.

Best bet:
These games are so tough to call, but if you have a strong view either way then you're usually rewarded with some decent prices. There's been a lot to like about recent Burnley displays despite them drawing three out of the last four - and while Brighton are great at home they have had successive 0-0 draws, meaning a narrow loss is not exactly a stretch.

Goals:
Expecting this to be a slow burner with plenty of hustle and bustle but no first half goals to show for it. 0-0 is a popular scoreline for Burnley's away games this season and they'll play this one the same way as well - staying in the game for the first half and then trying to pinch it in the second.

RequestABet:


Brighton v Burnley Opta stats

  • There has been just one goal scored in the three previous Premier League clashes between Brighton and Burnley, with the Seagulls failing to score on each occasion (D2 L1).
  • Burnley are looking to do the league double over Brighton for the third time in their history after the 2011-12 and 1972-73 seasons.
  • Burnley are unbeaten in their last six league matches against Brighton, although the first five games in this run ended level (W1).
  • Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 48% of their league encounters with Brighton (14/29); their best such ratio against a side in their history (min. 20 games).
  • Brighton have won only one of their last 10 Premier League games (D3 L6), beating Everton at the end of December.
  • Only one of Brighton’s seven home defeats in the Premier League has come against a side from outside of the ‘big six’ (0-2 v Leicester in March 2018).
  • Burnley are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games (W3 D3), with only Manchester United on a longer current run without defeat (8).
  • Burnley’s Chris Wood has scored five goals in his last eight league starts against Brighton, although he’s failed to net in five of the last six.
  • After netting seven goals in his first seven home Premier League games this season, Brighton’s Glenn Murray has failed to score in his last five at the Amex Stadium.
  • With Joe Hart starting in goal this season, Burnley have won just three of their 19 Premier League games (16%), conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. With Tom Heaton starting, the Clarets have won three of their six Premier League games (50%), shipping just 0.8 goals per game.

Odds correct as of 0000 GMT on 08/02/19

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