Group B is set up to be the most intriguing of all groups when the final round of games gets underway, with a high possibility that Denmark, Finland and Russia will finish on three points.
If that were to be the case, head-to-head record would be used, but for them all to finish on three points, they will have all beaten each other.
In that case, it goes on goal difference, which does mean that winless Denmark would most likely finish second by beating Russia, though a two-goal victory or higher scoring one goal victory (eg 2-1) would be required.
Right, so that’s the permutations of what could happen, now to look at what will happen.
2018 World Cup quarter finalists Russia have been extremely poor at Euro 2020.
They were thumped by Belgium in front of their own fans, failing to lay a glove on the number one ranked side in the world (xG: BEL 1.56 – 0.34 RUS).
Against the weakest team in the group, Finland, they scraped to a 1-0 win in unconvincing fashion, again struggling to create chances, lacking fluidity and composure all over the pitch (xG: FIN 0.88 – 1.08 RUS).
That game was one of the lower-quality contests we have seen so far in the competition, with both sides really struggling to string passes together and sustain attacks.
Given what we have seen from Russia, they appear to be a cut below Denmark and Belgium.
Denmark have been the most unfortunate team at Euro 2020 so far. The Danes have won the xG battle in both of their contests by a wide margin.
They conceded just one shot against Finland in an emotionally draining loss while racking up 2.09 xG, while they were excellent against Belgium only to be undone by two excellent goals (xG: DEN 2.24 – 0.79 BEL).
Expect another dominant performance, though this time, De rød-hvide take the chances they create and qualify as runners-up.
Score prediction: Russia 0-2 Denmark ()
Odds correct at 1400 BST (18/06/21)
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