Free betting tips and match preview: Champions League - Bayern Munich v Chelsea

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Bayern Munich v Chelsea (20:00 BST, BT Sport)

Chelsea's 33/1 price to qualify tells us all we need to know about their current situation heading over to Germany. 3-0 down from a first leg hammering at Stamford Bridge - Frank Lampard's side are likely to experience defeat again against the current Bundesliga champions.

Bayern's storming form throughout the post-lockdown period really fired them clear in the race for the title. They'd seen pressure from Dortmund and Leipzig throughout but those final games demonstrated why they have been number one in the country for a long period.

Hansi Flick's side are now 10/3 joint-favourites for Champions League glory and one of Napoli or Barcelona await them in the quarter-final. They should possess all the confidence needed to go all the way.

This Bayern team were in disarray at points in the early season but Flick has come in and not only steadied the ship but taken them to another level. This group of players have the feel of the next great Bayern side.

Their performances in the Champions League is how we can truly judge this team given their domination in Germany across the 2010s. Even with the tougher route out of the two possible ones to the final, Bayern look like they could do it.

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Opta facts

  • Bayern Munich have only hosted Chelsea once previously for a competitive match, winning 3-2 in April 2005 in the Champions League, with current Chelsea manager Frank Lampard scoring the opening goal for the Blues.
  • Chelsea and Bayern Munich last faced in the Allianz Arena in the 2012 Champions League final, with the Blues victorious on penalties after a 1-1 draw.
  • In the entire history of the European Cup and Champions League, no team has ever won by three or more goals in the first leg of a knockout match away from home and failed to progress, going through on all 92 previous occasions.
  • Chelsea are winless in their last seven away Champions League matches in the knockout stages (D4 L3) since a 1-0 win at Benfica in March 2012 in the quarter final.
  • Chelsea have only scored three goals in an away Champions League knockout match once previously, winning 3-1 at Liverpool in April 2009; Bayern have only conceded three times in three of their 43 home Champions League knockout games, though did so most recently in a 1-3 defeat to Liverpool in March 2019.
  • Bayern have won their first seven Champions League games this season, scoring 27 goals and conceding just five. Only one team has ever won their first eight matches of a campaign, with Barcelona winning their first nine in 2002-03 across the two group stages, before going out in the quarter final.
  • Bayern Munich manager Hans Dieter-Flick is looking to become only the third manager in Champions League history to win his first five matches in charge, after Fabio Capello (first six with Milan in 1992-93) and Luis Fernandez (first six with PSG in 1994-95).
  • Chelsea have conceded 12 Champions League goals this season, last conceding more during the 2008-09 campaign (13) when they reached the semi-final. The most goals they’ve conceded in a season was back in 1999-2000 (14).
  • Bayern Munich’s Robert Lewandowski has scored 11 goals and assisted two more in six Champions League appearances this season, averaging a goal or assist every 41 minutes. The German side haven’t won any of their last five knockout stage games in the Champions League in which Lewandowski has not been on the scoresheet (D3 L2).
  • All six of Serge Gnabry’s Champions League goals for Bayern this season have come against English teams (four vs Spurs, two vs Chelsea). Only two players have scored more goals against teams from a single nation in one season – Cristiano Ronaldo in 2013-14 vs German teams (7) and Luiz Adriano in 2014-15 vs Belarussian teams (8).

Odds correct at 0900 BST (07/08/20)

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