Sometimes in football you just need to win when playing badly. That’s what Crystal Palace did last time out against rivals Brighton.
The Seagulls had an expected goals rating of 3.03, according to Infogol, with Palace managing a meagre 0.27 in reply. The stats clearly argued that Brighton dominated proceedings. Inevitably it was the underachievers who ran out 2-1 victors.
And this isn’t an anomaly. The Eagles have won the expected goals battle in just one of their last seven Premier League fixtures. But they’ve still managed to pick up nine points in that run.
It’s that kind of fortune that explains why Crystal Palace are currently 13th in the table - 10 points clear of the bottom three - but should be 18th in the expected rankings.
I’d also have a look at ADEMOLA LOOKMAN in the anytime goalscorer market. The Fulham forward netted the winner for the Cottagers against Sheffield United last time out and averages over 2.5 shots per game.
Lookman is 3/1 to make it two from two, and 15/2 to find the net first (GentingBet, VBET; general).
Score prediction: Crystal Palace 1-2 Fulham
Odds correct at 1300 GMT (25/02/21)
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