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Watford v Liverpool

  • 1730 GMT kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League
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Best bet:

Opta stats

  • Watford are winless in their last eight Premier League meetings with Liverpool (D1 L7), losing each of the last four by an aggregate score of 0-15.
  • Under Jürgen Klopp, Liverpool have scored more Premier League goals against Watford than they have vs any other side in the competition (27 in nine games).
  • At least one side has scored three goals in five of the six Premier League meetings between Watford and Liverpool at Vicarage Road, with the exception being a 1-0 win for Liverpool in May 2017.
  • Since beating Liverpool 2-1 on the final day of the 1982-83 season, Watford have lost 15 of their 16 top-flight matches against sides top of the table (D1), including each of the last 13 in a row.
  • Liverpool have won their last 18 Premier League games; another win here would set a new record for most consecutive victories in English top-flight history.
  • Liverpool conceded more goals in their 3-2 win against West Ham last time out than they had in their previous 11 Premier League matches combined (1). They’ve not conceded more than once in consecutive league games since December 2016.
  • All 24 of Watford’s Premier League goals this season have been scored from inside the box. In Premier League history, there has been just two occasions of a team scoring 100% of their total goals from inside the area, with Middlesbrough (35) and Man City (33) both doing so in 1995-96.
  • Liverpool’s Sadio Mané has either scored or assisted in all six of his Premier League games against Watford for Liverpool, scoring five goals and assisting four in these matches.
  • Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored eight goals in his five Premier League games against Watford, netting both goals in the Reds’ 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture this season.
  • Troy Deeney is Watford’s top Premier League scorer this season with five goals, with all of these strikes coming in a seven-game spell in December and January.

Brighton v Crystal Palace

  • 1230 GMT kick-off on BT Sport
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Best bet:

Opta stats

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Best bet:

Opta stats

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Best bet:

Opta stats

Joelinton: Brazilian (right) celebrates with Steve Bruce
  • There have been just 24 goals scored in Newcastle’s 13 Premier League home games this season (F12 A12) – no other side’s home games have seen fewer. Only in 1980-81 has St James’ Park seen a lower goals-per-game ratio (1.7) than the 1.8 there this term.
  • Newcastle are winless in their last four Premier League games (D2 L2), and have failed to score in their last three. The Magpies last went four in a row without a goal in September 2015.
  • Burnley have won four of their last five Premier League games (D1), as many as they had in their previous 14 in the competition (W4 D0 L10).
  • Newcastle have faced more shots on target than any other Premier League side so far this season (158). Only once since 2003-04 has a team faced as many as 5.9 shots on target per game in a Premier League campaign and avoided relegation (Sunderland in 2015-16).
  • No side has scored a higher share of their Premier League goals from set-piece situations (excluding penalties) than Newcastle this season (50% - 12/24). However, Burnley have conceded a league-low 5% of their goals this term from such situations (2/39).
  • Of players to have played at least 900 minutes in the Premier League this season, Newcastle’s Allan Saint-Maximin has embarked on more dribbles per 90 minutes than any other player (9.7). He’s beaten an opponent with 58% of these, the third highest among players to have attempted at least 100.
  • Newcastle striker Joelinton has gone 24 games, 1946 minutes and attempted 35 shots since his last Premier League goal against Tottenham in August.


West Ham v Southampton

Ralph Hasenhuttl has turned it around at Southampton

I have had an eye on this game for a while with a goalscorer in mind at around 9/2, until he picked up an injury against Liverpool to keep him sidelined for around three weeks.

A blow for both our Premier League tips and for Tomas Soucek so early in his West Ham career, but we shall stick with the goals market and with another Hammers player.

David Moyes' side are in desperate need of a win as they sit in the final relegation spot, but a repeat performance of Monday's defeat at Liverpool should go some way to delivering that here.

The trouble is that they are inevitably going to raise their game against the league leaders, but against a fellow bottom-half side in front of your own nervy fans it is a different question.

Ralph Hasenhuttl's Saints have been better away from home this term, collecting 20 of their 34 points. Only the current top four have a better away record and that is why they go into the game as 13/8 favourites.

They are prone to a lapse, though, and you cannot back them at this price. There is hope from West Ham that they can continue their display and this squad looks too strong overall to go down.

The interest is with the stand-in striker Michail Antonio, with the utility man preferred to lead the line over expensive summer buy Sebastian Haller.

With Antonio in this role, the 3/1 anytime price looks overpriced (with the system probably still believing he is a winger) and it is therefore worth a small play.

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Best bet:

Opta stats

  • West Ham have won each of their last four Premier League games against Southampton – only against Blackburn between 2006-2008 have the Hammers had a longer winning run against an opponent in the competition (5).
  • After drawing their first Premier League away game against West Ham (3-3 in May 1994), none of Southampton’s last 16 visits to the Hammers in the competition has ended level (W4 L12).
  • West Ham have won more Premier League games overall (17) and more Premier League home games (12) against Southampton than they have against any other side.
  • No side has won fewer Premier League points at home than West Ham this season (12). Meanwhile, Southampton have won a league-high share 59% of their points away from home this term (20/34).
  • Since beating Fulham 3-1 in February 2019, West Ham have lost their last 17 Premier League games when conceding the first goal; both the longest current run in the division and West Ham’s longest such losing run in the competition.
  • Since (and including) a 2-1 win against Watford at the end of November to end an eight-game winless run in the Premier League, Southampton have earned 25 points from their 14 Premier League games (W8 D1 L5). Only the current top two sides Liverpool and Man City have earned more in that time.
  • West Ham have dropped 22 points from leading positions in the Premier League this season, more than any other side. In no campaign in the competition have the Hammers dropped more points (also 22 in 2010-11 and 2016-17).
  • West Ham defender Issa Diop has scored two goals in his last three Premier League games, as many as he had in his previous 52 in the competition. 75% of the Frenchman’s goals in the competition have been scored in his six games in 2020 (3/4).
  • Southampton’s Pierre-Emile Højbjerg has had more shots without scoring than any other player in the Premier League this season (39).
  • Southampton’s Stuart Armstrong has scored three goals in his last five Premier League games, as many as he had in his first 44 appearances in the competition


Odds correct as of 1700 GMT on 27/02/20

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