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Burnley v Man City

  • Turf Moor, 1405 BST kick-off (Apr 28) on Sky Sports Premier League

A step closer to the title, City should be focused and get the job done on Sunday after knowing Liverpool's result against Huddersfield on Friday evening. The Citizens have failed to keep a league clean sheet at Turf Moor since 1999 while Burnley have collected a respectable four points from their last four meetings with City on home soil.

Dyche's Clarets will put up a fight and City could miss Fernandinho and Gundogan's string-pulling in midfield, but should still having enough to claim the points.

Best bet:

With the odds heavily stacked in the visitors' favour, this is a nice odds-against price to back considering how the game is expected to go. Being the home side, Burnley should still have a few chances and look to test Ederson - they average four shots on target per game at Turf Moor - while City should have plenty of possession and chances at the other end.

They average 18 shots per away game and this threshold for shots on target does look realistic and appealing. If they concede first or find themselves drawing in the second half, this could fall into our hands with City pushing for a winner past Tom Heaton.

Stats:

A market similar to our winner from City's win over Tottenham, which focused on City's first goal coming early on. Liverpool tend to kill games off in the second half, whereas Pep Guardiola's side burst out of the blocks and take an early lead.

It was purposely left off the Manchester derby, but in their four league games before that they have scored after 5 minutes, 15, 6 and 5. Burnley will be aware of this, but being able to prevent it is something else.

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