We’ve had plenty of upsets in the Cup already in 2020-21, but I just don’t see Cheltenham pulling off one of the shocks of the season - or any season, for that matter - at Whaddon Road on Saturday teatime.
Since losing to Wigan in February 2018, Manchester City have won their last seven ties against sides from a lower division by an aggregate score of 26-4. They cruised past Championship side Birmingham in the previous round, winning 3-0 despite rarely leaving first gear.
Pep Guardiola’s side have always targeted this competition, having reached at least the semi-finals in three of the past four campaigns. They may be away from home on a pitch unlikely to suit their style of play, but I fully expect City to name a strong starting line-up and blow Cheltenham away.
I like the 21/10 on offer with several firms on City to win with a -3 handicap, meaning they need to triumph by four goals, something they are easily capable of. If you fancy an outright scoreline, Guardiola's men are 7/1 to grab a 4-0 victory.
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(William Hill)
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Odds correct at 1400 GMT (21/01/21)
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