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I'd like to take that price but this just feels like a three-goal win for Chelsea, and if you add an extra goal in whatever slightly altered market then the odds tumble. Then there's the added complication that Norwich's only meeting with a current top six side since lockdown was in the FA Cup against Manchester United and it took an extra-time goal to knock them out. Earlier in the season they beat Manchester City and Leicester, drew with the Foxes too, held Tottenham and narrowly lost at home to both Liverpool and Chelsea. So they are not that bad.
On balance, I just wouldn't back the Canaries to score, end of, and Chelsea should be able to keep a fourth clean sheet in five home matches. Although it makes me slightly uncomfortable, offers the best value we're going to get.
It's got to be the Brazilian in terms of the Best Bet at those odds, especially as he's scored in their last two matches at Stamford Bridge, but I'll probably go with both.
Prediction: Chelsea 3-0 Norwich
Best bets:
Odds correct as of 1100 BST on 13/07/20
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