tempting but only Luton (72) have conceded more than Hull’s 67 Championship goals.

Despite those stats, I have to admit I am finding it hard to ignore the because of how it feels like this match will be played, but they can’t make my best bets for the reasons outlined and reasons to come. I’m not saying don’t back it, though…

is something I really like.

I’ve already talked about Hull’s woes in front of goal, and what also supports backing Boro for what may appear like an unlikely clean sheet is Warnock’s back to basics, defence first mantra, and the team that he’s inherited.

Although his opening win saw them record only a second clean sheet in 13 league matches, aside from the calamitous post-restart half-hour which ultimately cost Jonathan Woodgate his job Middlesbrough had actually tightened up defensively.

Prior to the shutdown they conceded a maximum of one goal in seven out of 10 fixtures.

Reading are the only bottom-half side to have conceded fewer than Boro’s 50 goals this season.

All of that makes Middlesbrough to win and Under 3.5 Goals at 9/5 a really good bet, but is a marginally better price, so that’s where the money’s going.

Score prediction: Hull 0-1 Middlesbrough ()

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