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Derby v Brentford (Sky Sports Football, 12:30 BST)

Brentford don't look like slowing down in their pursuit of a top-two finish, and after Derby's showing against West Brom, they can expect another three points here.

The Asian Handicap has Brentford at -0.5 for victory here but we can expect a more convincing result based on recent results. Derby were fancied by many to make a charge into the play-offs, but their performance against the Baggies highlighted that they look like a team far away from promotion.

Wayne Rooney played in a more advanced position last time out but he failed to inspire a win. It's no coincidence that when Rooney struggles to play, so do his team mates.

Louie Sibley was shown a red card late on and, at the time of writing, we're still unclear about it being overturned. Derby have said they will appeal and the decision did look a harsh one watching it back.

However, should that not be overturned, the Rams will be without Sibley and forward Martyn Waghorn from an already-thin squad. Brentford will have no fears about going to Pride Park and getting the three points.

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Opta facts

  • Derby have won two of the last four league games against Brentford (D1 L1) with both victories coming on home soil in February and September 2018.
  • Brentford’s last away victory in any competition against Derby came back in February 1993 in an Anglo-Italian Semi-Final encounter, losing five of their last seven visits (D2).
  • Derby have only lost one of their last 19 home league games (W11 D7), with a current unbeaten run of nine games at home (W6 D3).
  • Brentford have won their last six games in the Championship by an aggregate score of 16-1, while they’ve won both of their away games since the restart without conceding (2-0 v Fulham and 3-0 v Reading).
  • Brentford striker Ollie Watkins has netted three times against Derby in five previous league appearances, including a brace in the reverse fixture back in August – however, he is yet to net at Pride Park.

Odds correct at 1100 BST (09/07/20)

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