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Werder Bremen v Bayer Leverkusen (BT Sport, 1930 BST)

The Bundesliga weekend comes to an end with a meeting of two sides at opposite ends of the table.

Bayer Leverkusen have aspirations of securing Champions League football next season, while Bremen are battling to avoid the drop and need to find a minor miracle in an eight-point swing in their favour to survive.

To make matters worse for Bremen supporters, just five of their 18 points this season have come at home. That doesn't put them in a good place when they take on a strong Leverkusen outfit.

Bremen may have Paderborn below them in the standings but they can count themselves somewhat lucky that they don't prop up the table at this point.

The xG puts them in last place and, for anyone who has watched them at any point during the vast majority of this season, it is correct to do so.

Bayer Leverkusen celebrate a goal against Bayern Munich

Bremen's only victory at home came at the beginning of September when they edged out Augsburg in a five-goal thriller. When it comes to playing those at the top-end of the table, there has been a comfortable margin in the scoreline.

Leverkusen will be optimistic that they can continue that trend and their 4/6 general price looks too big. There is always going to be some doubt about how teams will react following the enforced break, but Bayern sitting at 2/11 away at Union Berlin shows how short some prices can be.

Now, this isn't comparing Leverkusen to Bayern, although both sides are leading the way in the German top-flight, but there's an expectation that the away side would be similar value here given the sheer difference in quality.


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On that topic of how we should expect teams to react, Bremen's narrow 1-0 victory over Dusseldorf on their first game back following the winter break would give them hope that maybe they can come out and get something here.

But the result hides what was a pretty uninspiring performance from the current strugglers. Their goal, a deflected header from a tight angle at the back post, came in a contest where they failed to create real chances.

The fact that a poor quality goal gave them their only league win of 2020 is perhaps the perfect description of their current position in the table.

We focus on that result, because there's little else positive to shout about this Bremen team on the whole, but Leverkusen's 4-1 hammering of Paderborn in their first league game of 2020 should be a truer reflection of how this game is likely to unfold.

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