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Lyon v Bayern Munich

  • 2000 kick-off on BT Sport 1
  • Latest odds:
is a bet I’m taking all day long and is a real tempter too.

I'm going to hedge and go with the former, because it wouldn't shock me in the slightest if the German side kept a rare clean sheet and own 4-0. To counter that, I'm backing them to make it a fourth successive match in which they score at least four times by taking because of the extra value it offers.

Lyon’s 3-1 win over Manchester City was only the third time in 15 matches that one of their matches has seen Over 3.5 goals, with the other two being defeats by PSG (4-2 and 5-1). So perhaps we’re too hasty in backing free-scoring Bayern to sweep them to one side like they have everybody else.

But City carved them open enough times for me to think that Bayern will do the same, but won't be so profligate.

Finding value in the Bayern goalscorer market is hard as they have contributors all over the pitch, so bookies aren't willing to risk a high price. If you're desperate, you can stake your last dollar on Robert Lewandowski – hence his 2/9 anytime odds.

The Poland captain has found the net in 21 of his past 23 appearances, and on seven of those occasions he has scored more than once. All in all he has done so on 14 occasions this term, which is a staggering statistic.

given that he’s netted in three of his last four starts having recovered from injury to force his way into the starting XI, which in itself says a lot.

But for me, on balance, I’d rather back Lewandowski to score twice than Perisic to score once. Sorry Ivan.

is a hell of a price.

Only twice has not happened in the German side’s past nine matches.

Score prediction: Lyon 1-4 Bayern Munich ()

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