While Arsenal may not be playing for anything down the home stretch of this Premier League season, currently seven points behind sixth-placed Liverpool, these final few games are important for Mikel Arteta, his staff and the Arsenal players.
The Arteta revolution has been slow to take off, but the signs are that they are trending in a very positive direction under the Spaniard, and the Arsenal players – particularly the younger ones – are playing hard in an attempt to convince their coach that they deserve to be part of the project.
Despite feeling a somewhat ‘second string’ forward line last weekend, the Gunners swatted bottom club Sheffield United aside with consummate ease.
There was no Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for that clash, with it later revealed that the Gabonese forward had contracted malaria while on international duty, while Willian was benched and loanee Martin Ødegaard remains out injured.
That meant Nicolas Pepe and Alexandre Lacazette were joined by the ever impressive Bukayo Saka and the exciting Gabriel Martinelli at Bramall Lane, and the quartet were very much singing from the same hymn sheet.
Even more impressively though, was how they went to Slavia Prague in the Europa League and thumped the Czech side 4-0. That was a Slavia side who were unbeaten at home in all competitions this season.
Emile Smith-Rowe replaced Martinelli in the forward line for that game, but again, the flow in Gunners attack was reminiscent of yesteryear, of the fluid attacking sides of the Arsene Wenger era.
Now I’m not saying that they are THAT good, but the signs are promising. Since Boxing Day, Arteta’s side have been the sixth best attacking team in the Premier League based on expected goals.
What we learnt from last season was that Mikel Arteta was going to rebuild this Arsenal team from the back forwards, prioritising the need for defensive stability.
Their FA Cup win showcased just that, being able to limit the best attacking teams to very little, but this season, they began by looking rock solid at the back but toothless in attack.
Having wrestled with approaches, the Gunners are now on track and balanced, allowing 1.26 expected goals against (xGA) per game this season, down from 1.62 last season.
We're now starting to see them being creative in attack, and less sloppy defensively than in recent seasons, and while this will end up being a disappointing league campaign, it will be for the benefit of the club moving forward.
I wrote an article during the most recent international break as to why you should back Fulham for the drop, then priced at 11/10. Having played two and lost two since, Scott Parker’s side can be backed at a best price of 1/4.
They head to the Emirates having lost five of their last six, and thanks to Newcastle’s results, now find themselves six points from safety having played a game more. It’s must-win territory for the Cottagers.
The issue they have had this season though has been creating chances of note.
Fulham have created the eighth most non-penalty chances this season (371), more than the likes of Leicester (367) and West Ham (358), but the Cottagers have racked up the third fewest ‘big chances’ – a scoring opportunity with a 35% or greater chance of being converted.
Score prediction: Arsenal 2-0 Fulham ()
Odds correct 1700 BST (16/04/21)
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